DNUT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | +0.3% | 15.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -3.1% | -1.5% | 7.6% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.8% | 6.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | -3.6% | -2.0% | 17.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -47.0% | +3.2% | +4.2% | +1.5% | +4.6% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | -0.02 | -0.05 | -136.2% | +9.5% | -1.1% | -10.7% | +1.6% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +146.0% | +22.6% | +27.8% | -5.2% | -15.4% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | -0.05 | 0.01 | +119.0% | +12.2% | +3.7% | +0.3% | +11.0% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | -0.03 | -0.15 | -361.5% | -14.8% | -7.0% | +10.1% | -0.9% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | -0.05 | -0.05 | -9.1% | -30.0% | -24.7% | -1.5% | -8.3% |
| 2025-02-25 miss | 0.10 | 0.01 | -89.8% | -29.2% | -21.9% | -15.3% | -24.0% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -185.4% | -9.7% | -4.5% | -6.5% | -14.5% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | 0.05 | 0.05 | -1.4% | +4.0% | +13.5% | +4.7% | +9.9% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +10.0% | +2.7% | +1.8% | -7.9% | -12.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.