DNUT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | +1.4% | 11.9% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | +0.1% | 6.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.6% | 5.2% | 55% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | +0.9% | 14.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -47.0% | +3.2% | +4.2% | +1.5% | +4.6% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | -0.02 | -0.05 | -136.2% | +9.5% | -1.1% | -10.7% | +1.6% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +146.0% | +22.6% | +27.8% | -5.2% | -15.4% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | -0.05 | 0.01 | +119.0% | +12.2% | +3.7% | +0.3% | +11.0% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | -0.03 | -0.15 | -361.5% | -14.8% | -7.0% | +10.1% | -0.9% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | -0.05 | -0.05 | -9.1% | -30.0% | -24.7% | -1.5% | -8.3% |
| 2025-02-25 miss | 0.10 | 0.01 | -89.8% | -29.2% | -21.9% | -15.3% | -24.0% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -185.4% | -9.7% | -4.5% | -6.5% | -14.5% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | 0.05 | 0.05 | -1.4% | +4.0% | +13.5% | +4.7% | +9.9% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +10.0% | +2.7% | +1.8% | -7.9% | -12.5% |
| 2024-02-13 miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -28.2% | -8.0% | -4.8% | +1.2% | -9.9% |
| 2023-11-09 miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -47.7% | -7.0% | -6.5% | +4.4% | +5.4% |
| 2023-08-10 beat | 0.07 | 0.07 | +5.1% | -4.4% | -13.7% | +3.9% | +6.1% |
| 2023-05-11 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +30.9% | +2.1% | +1.0% | -1.5% | -1.9% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +9.5% | +6.2% | +6.8% | +0.5% | +8.8% |
| 2022-11-15 miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -32.3% | -1.1% | +2.3% | +8.8% | -8.2% |
| 2022-08-17 miss | 0.10 | 0.08 | -16.6% | -9.0% | -12.1% | -6.3% | -4.4% |
| 2022-05-11 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +15.4% | +2.9% | +3.8% | +11.2% | +6.1% |
| 2022-02-22 miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -14.0% | -0.5% | +8.4% | -2.1% | -1.0% |
| 2021-11-09 miss | 0.06 | 0.06 | -2.8% | +6.2% | +3.0% | +12.0% | +16.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.