DOW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.8% | 5.1% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.1% | 2.4% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 2.3% | 57% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | +0.1% | 7.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 1.28 | 1.44 | +12.6% | +1.8% | -1.1% | -2.6% | +4.7% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | -0.29 | -0.14 | +51.7% | +1.5% | -0.7% | +5.1% | -6.5% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | -0.51 | -0.34 | +33.7% | -4.2% | -2.2% | +12.7% | +12.7% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | -0.30 | -0.19 | +36.8% | +8.1% | +12.9% | -2.9% | -9.4% |
| 2025-07-24 miss | -0.17 | -0.42 | -146.2% | -10.5% | -17.5% | -7.1% | +0.2% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | -0.01 | 0.02 | +249.8% | -1.7% | +2.6% | +2.6% | -4.8% |
| 2025-01-30 miss | 0.24 | — | -100.0% | -4.2% | -6.1% | +0.6% | -6.5% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 0.47 | 0.47 | -0.2% | +1.0% | -1.0% | -3.2% | -10.8% |
| 2024-07-25 miss | 0.72 | 0.68 | -5.1% | -4.8% | -0.9% | +0.8% | +1.3% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.45 | 0.56 | +23.2% | +1.3% | -0.9% | +0.7% | +2.3% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +8.1% | +3.1% | +3.5% | -2.5% | +2.1% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +7.0% | +0.4% | +2.1% | -1.8% | +4.4% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +6.1% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +4.3% | -0.1% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 0.37 | 0.58 | +55.1% | -1.7% | -5.2% | +2.4% | -2.2% |
| 2023-01-26 miss | 0.57 | 0.46 | -19.2% | -2.1% | +0.4% | +3.1% | -1.9% |
| 2022-10-20 miss | 1.15 | 1.11 | -3.4% | +0.6% | -0.4% | +6.0% | +11.4% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 2.14 | 2.31 | +8.2% | -3.8% | -2.2% | +1.8% | +8.0% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 2.05 | 2.34 | +14.1% | +2.2% | +2.9% | -2.4% | -2.0% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 2.03 | 2.15 | +6.0% | +2.7% | +5.2% | +1.7% | -2.0% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 2.56 | 2.75 | +7.3% | +0.3% | -1.1% | -4.5% | -3.2% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 2.44 | 2.72 | +11.5% | -2.0% | +1.3% | +3.5% | +0.7% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 1.15 | 1.36 | +18.4% | -1.3% | -6.0% | +5.1% | +13.0% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 0.68 | 0.81 | +19.9% | -0.5% | +0.0% | +3.6% | +13.2% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 0.31 | 0.50 | +63.8% | +2.6% | +0.6% | -5.3% | +12.1% |
| 2020-07-23 miss | -0.25 | -0.26 | -2.6% | -3.0% | -3.4% | -2.5% | +1.8% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +1.1% | -0.5% | -2.1% | -10.5% | +5.2% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +7.7% | +3.9% | +5.3% | -0.1% | -18.6% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.72 | 0.91 | +26.4% | +3.0% | +4.7% | +2.1% | +9.6% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.2% | -2.2% | -3.8% | -7.7% | -19.8% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 0.91 | 0.70 | -23.3% | -1.1% | -6.1% | +0.4% | -9.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.