DPZ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | -0.4% | 5.9% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.9% | 3.0% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.5% | 2.2% | 35% |
| 5-day | -1.4% | +0.1% | 6.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 miss | 4.17 | 4.07 | -2.4% | +6.4% | +2.1% | +4.4% | +2.2% |
| 2026-04-27 miss | 4.27 | 4.13 | -3.3% | -7.2% | -8.8% | -1.5% | -7.0% |
| 2026-02-23 miss | 5.38 | 5.35 | -0.6% | +4.5% | +4.1% | +0.3% | -10.1% |
| 2025-10-14 beat | 3.96 | 4.08 | +3.0% | -0.2% | +3.9% | -1.0% | -4.8% |
| 2025-07-21 miss | 3.95 | 3.81 | -3.6% | +4.9% | -0.8% | +2.6% | -2.5% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 4.07 | 4.33 | +6.3% | -2.2% | +0.6% | -2.6% | -1.5% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | 4.91 | 4.89 | -0.4% | -4.6% | -1.5% | +6.2% | +1.0% |
| 2024-10-10 beat | 3.64 | 4.19 | +15.2% | +1.1% | -1.1% | +5.0% | +12.5% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 3.67 | 4.03 | +9.9% | -13.4% | -13.6% | +3.9% | +8.3% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 3.40 | 3.58 | +5.4% | +6.3% | +5.6% | -0.9% | -3.2% |
| 2024-02-26 beat | 4.40 | 4.48 | +1.9% | +6.8% | +5.8% | -2.0% | +5.2% |
| 2023-10-12 beat | 3.30 | 4.18 | +26.9% | +1.6% | -1.1% | -1.7% | +8.1% |
| 2023-07-24 beat | 3.06 | 3.08 | +0.5% | +3.8% | +0.1% | +2.8% | -1.6% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 2.72 | 2.93 | +7.6% | +3.3% | -6.5% | -1.8% | -5.5% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 3.97 | 4.43 | +11.5% | -9.6% | -11.7% | -0.8% | +1.2% |
| 2022-10-13 miss | 2.97 | 2.79 | -6.1% | +5.4% | +10.4% | -4.1% | +10.0% |
| 2022-07-21 miss | 2.90 | 2.82 | -2.8% | +0.8% | -1.3% | -3.9% | -0.1% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 3.07 | 2.50 | -18.6% | -5.9% | -5.1% | -3.4% | +3.4% |
| 2022-03-01 miss | 4.29 | 4.25 | -0.9% | -8.7% | +0.0% | -9.0% | -6.0% |
| 2021-10-14 beat | 3.10 | 3.24 | +4.4% | -3.2% | +0.3% | -2.0% | +7.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.