DPZ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 7.4% | 52% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 2.7% | 52% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 1.6% | 42% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +1.2% | 7.9% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 miss | 4.17 | 4.07 | -2.4% | +6.4% | +2.1% | +4.4% | +2.2% |
| 2026-04-27 miss | 4.27 | 4.13 | -3.3% | -7.2% | -8.8% | -1.5% | -7.0% |
| 2026-02-23 miss | 5.38 | 5.35 | -0.6% | +4.5% | +4.1% | +0.3% | -10.1% |
| 2025-10-14 beat | 3.96 | 4.08 | +3.0% | -0.2% | +3.9% | -1.0% | -4.8% |
| 2025-07-21 miss | 3.95 | 3.81 | -3.6% | +4.9% | -0.8% | +2.6% | -2.5% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 4.07 | 4.33 | +6.3% | -2.2% | +0.6% | -2.6% | -1.5% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | 4.91 | 4.89 | -0.4% | -4.6% | -1.5% | +6.2% | +1.0% |
| 2024-10-10 beat | 3.64 | 4.19 | +15.2% | +1.1% | -1.1% | +5.0% | +12.5% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 3.67 | 4.03 | +9.9% | -13.4% | -13.6% | +3.9% | +8.3% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 3.40 | 3.58 | +5.4% | +6.3% | +5.6% | -0.9% | -3.2% |
| 2024-02-26 beat | 4.40 | 4.48 | +1.9% | +6.8% | +5.8% | -2.0% | +5.2% |
| 2023-10-12 beat | 3.30 | 4.18 | +26.9% | +1.6% | -1.1% | -1.7% | +8.1% |
| 2023-07-24 beat | 3.06 | 3.08 | +0.5% | +3.8% | +0.1% | +2.8% | -1.6% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 2.72 | 2.93 | +7.6% | +3.3% | -6.5% | -1.8% | -5.5% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 3.97 | 4.43 | +11.5% | -9.6% | -11.7% | -0.8% | +1.2% |
| 2022-10-13 miss | 2.97 | 2.79 | -6.1% | +5.4% | +10.4% | -4.1% | +10.0% |
| 2022-07-21 miss | 2.90 | 2.82 | -2.8% | +0.8% | -1.3% | -3.9% | -0.1% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 3.07 | 2.50 | -18.6% | -5.9% | -5.1% | -3.4% | +3.4% |
| 2022-03-01 miss | 4.29 | 4.25 | -0.9% | -8.7% | +0.0% | -9.0% | -6.0% |
| 2021-10-14 beat | 3.10 | 3.24 | +4.4% | -3.2% | +0.3% | -2.0% | +7.5% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 2.87 | 3.06 | +6.5% | +3.1% | +14.6% | -2.3% | -5.4% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 2.96 | 3.00 | +1.5% | -0.6% | +3.0% | +3.4% | +2.6% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | 3.90 | 3.46 | -11.2% | -6.7% | -7.0% | -2.5% | +9.7% |
| 2020-10-08 miss | 2.73 | 2.49 | -8.9% | -5.8% | -7.0% | +0.2% | -0.3% |
| 2020-07-16 beat | 2.28 | 2.99 | +30.9% | -2.3% | -1.5% | -6.4% | -2.1% |
| 2020-04-23 beat | 2.35 | 3.07 | +30.4% | -1.0% | -3.7% | -2.1% | +0.7% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 2.97 | 3.13 | +5.3% | +21.9% | +25.6% | -6.8% | -19.6% |
| 2019-10-08 miss | 2.09 | 2.05 | -1.8% | -4.8% | +4.7% | +0.9% | +9.6% |
| 2019-07-16 beat | 2.03 | 2.19 | +7.9% | -5.8% | -8.7% | +4.5% | -4.2% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 2.09 | 2.20 | +5.4% | +6.2% | +4.9% | -4.2% | +0.7% |
| 2019-02-21 miss | 2.69 | 2.62 | -2.8% | -6.1% | -9.1% | -0.8% | -5.4% |
| 2018-10-16 beat | 1.76 | 1.95 | +11.0% | -3.0% | -4.9% | +2.4% | +2.5% |
| 2018-07-19 beat | 1.74 | 1.78 | +2.4% | -3.1% | -2.4% | -6.1% | +3.0% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 1.77 | 2.00 | +13.1% | +6.9% | +7.3% | -1.9% | -0.1% |
| 2018-02-20 beat | 1.95 | 2.09 | +7.1% | -2.4% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +3.1% |
| 2017-10-12 miss | 1.23 | 1.18 | -4.2% | -4.4% | -3.9% | -7.4% | -13.8% |
| 2017-07-25 beat | 1.23 | 1.32 | +7.3% | -3.3% | -10.1% | -3.1% | -2.4% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 1.17 | 1.26 | +7.5% | +3.4% | +2.5% | +2.6% | +11.6% |
| 2017-02-28 beat | 1.44 | 1.48 | +2.8% | +0.6% | +2.4% | -0.3% | -3.7% |
| 2016-10-18 beat | 0.90 | 0.96 | +6.9% | +3.9% | +4.9% | +3.4% | +1.3% |
| 2016-07-21 beat | 0.94 | 0.98 | +4.4% | +5.9% | +5.7% | +1.8% | +1.8% |
| 2016-04-28 miss | 0.98 | 0.89 | -9.0% | -9.4% | -9.8% | -0.4% | +1.4% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | 1.11 | 1.16 | +4.4% | +7.9% | +13.0% | +0.0% | -2.8% |
| 2015-10-08 miss | 0.74 | 0.67 | -9.4% | -5.0% | -5.0% | +3.1% | +1.8% |
| 2015-07-16 beat | 0.79 | 0.81 | +2.6% | -1.3% | -2.5% | -3.4% | -1.2% |
| 2015-04-23 beat | 0.80 | 0.81 | +1.7% | +7.1% | +9.4% | -1.3% | -0.2% |
| 2015-02-24 miss | 0.92 | 0.85 | -7.8% | -1.0% | -0.9% | -0.7% | -2.3% |
| 2014-10-14 beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +3.3% | +3.3% | +11.3% | +2.0% | +8.7% |
| 2014-07-22 beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +3.1% | +1.2% | +3.7% | -2.9% | -1.9% |
| 2014-05-01 beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +4.2% | +0.3% | -3.5% | -0.9% | +1.7% |
| 2014-02-25 beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.6% | +3.0% | +0.5% | +5.9% | +0.7% |
| 2013-10-15 beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.3% | -2.2% | -5.7% | +3.6% | +6.6% |
| 2013-07-23 beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +1.9% | +1.1% | -6.6% | +4.5% | +3.5% |
| 2013-04-30 beat | 0.56 | 0.59 | +6.0% | +3.8% | +4.2% | +4.7% | +8.3% |
| 2013-02-28 beat | 0.60 | 0.64 | +6.1% | +3.0% | +1.7% | +4.3% | +6.8% |
| 2012-10-16 beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +4.2% | +7.0% | +7.6% | -1.9% | -2.8% |
| 2012-07-24 beat | 0.47 | 0.47 | +0.9% | +3.2% | +3.0% | +3.6% | +7.4% |
| 2012-05-01 miss | 0.50 | 0.47 | -5.8% | -10.6% | -9.3% | -4.8% | -10.5% |
| 2012-02-28 beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.8% | +5.2% | +15.7% | -0.7% | -8.1% |
| 2011-10-18 beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +11.8% | +2.4% | +7.1% | +6.9% | +7.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.