DPZ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -0.1% | 6.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.5% | +1.1% | 2.4% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 1.8% | 20% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +3.3% | 6.2% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 miss | 4.17 | 4.07 | -2.4% | +6.4% | +2.1% | +4.4% | +2.2% |
| 2026-04-27 miss | 4.27 | 4.13 | -3.3% | -7.2% | -8.8% | -1.5% | -7.0% |
| 2026-02-23 miss | 5.38 | 5.35 | -0.6% | +4.5% | +4.1% | +0.3% | -10.1% |
| 2025-10-14 beat | 3.96 | 4.08 | +3.0% | -0.2% | +3.9% | -1.0% | -4.8% |
| 2025-07-21 miss | 3.95 | 3.81 | -3.6% | +4.9% | -0.8% | +2.6% | -2.5% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 4.07 | 4.33 | +6.3% | -2.2% | +0.6% | -2.6% | -1.5% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | 4.91 | 4.89 | -0.4% | -4.6% | -1.5% | +6.2% | +1.0% |
| 2024-10-10 beat | 3.64 | 4.19 | +15.2% | +1.1% | -1.1% | +5.0% | +12.5% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 3.67 | 4.03 | +9.9% | -13.4% | -13.6% | +3.9% | +8.3% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 3.40 | 3.58 | +5.4% | +6.3% | +5.6% | -0.9% | -3.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.