DT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.3% | +1.8% | 7.8% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.5% | 3.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +0.9% | 1.4% | 80% |
| 5-day | +3.5% | +3.8% | 7.6% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +8.2% | +12.7% | +11.3% | -2.6% | +3.7% |
| 2026-05-13 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +5.4% | -14.5% | -11.4% | +14.8% | +17.3% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +7.2% | +13.6% | +7.3% | +1.2% | +3.8% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +7.5% | +0.8% | -4.5% | -1.9% | -6.2% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +11.5% | +0.8% | +0.0% | -5.4% | -1.0% |
| 2025-05-14 beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +9.1% | +2.0% | +5.9% | +0.2% | -0.9% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +11.7% | +0.3% | +0.7% | +4.1% | -3.5% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +14.6% | -7.9% | -3.8% | -0.8% | +5.7% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +12.6% | +11.2% | +14.7% | +3.1% | +8.1% |
| 2024-05-15 beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +11.0% | +6.5% | +2.8% | +0.0% | -3.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.