DT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | +0.6% | 9.2% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +1.1% | 4.5% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +0.9% | 2.3% | 65% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | +3.8% | 10.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +8.2% | +12.7% | +11.3% | -2.6% | +3.7% |
| 2026-05-13 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +5.4% | -14.5% | -11.4% | +14.8% | +17.3% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +7.2% | +13.6% | +7.3% | +1.2% | +3.8% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +7.5% | +0.8% | -4.5% | -1.9% | -6.2% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +11.5% | +0.8% | +0.0% | -5.4% | -1.0% |
| 2025-05-14 beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +9.1% | +2.0% | +5.9% | +0.2% | -0.9% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +11.7% | +0.3% | +0.7% | +4.1% | -3.5% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +14.6% | -7.9% | -3.8% | -0.8% | +5.7% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +12.6% | +11.2% | +14.7% | +3.1% | +8.1% |
| 2024-05-15 beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +11.0% | +6.5% | +2.8% | +0.0% | -3.9% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +14.5% | -10.1% | -7.6% | -7.1% | -17.6% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +17.0% | +8.1% | +2.7% | +8.3% | +20.1% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +22.2% | -11.9% | -13.3% | -3.2% | +0.7% |
| 2023-05-17 beat | 0.22 | 0.31 | +40.0% | -1.8% | +0.6% | +4.4% | +8.8% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +17.1% | +12.4% | +15.9% | -1.0% | -2.6% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +20.2% | -7.1% | -6.4% | +6.7% | +22.1% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +3.1% | +1.1% | +5.5% | +7.2% | -9.5% |
| 2022-05-18 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +11.1% | +4.6% | +0.9% | +13.9% | +16.1% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +11.8% | -26.1% | -18.0% | +2.3% | -10.2% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +13.4% | -6.0% | -9.9% | +7.7% | -10.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.