DUOL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.4% | -7.5% | 15.5% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +1.3% | 4.6% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -1.6% | 4.7% | 30% |
| 5-day | -3.7% | -3.9% | 20.0% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 1.54 | 1.24 | -19.7% | -3.9% | -9.4% | +17.6% | +26.0% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 1.63 | 1.45 | -10.8% | -1.7% | -5.6% | +1.9% | +4.9% |
| 2026-02-27 miss | 1.68 | 1.59 | -5.2% | -21.4% | -14.0% | +0.9% | -6.8% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 1.59 | 6.80 | +326.9% | -25.3% | -25.5% | -3.7% | +7.3% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 1.29 | 1.70 | +31.9% | +29.8% | +13.7% | -15.6% | -30.6% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.20 | 1.26 | +5.6% | +9.2% | +21.6% | +5.4% | +5.5% |
| 2025-02-28 miss | 1.09 | 0.82 | -24.5% | -13.5% | -17.0% | -5.3% | -0.5% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.94 | 1.08 | +15.3% | -4.5% | -1.0% | +2.1% | +14.2% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 0.85 | 1.01 | +18.8% | +8.4% | +10.9% | +13.0% | +21.3% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.77 | 1.12 | +46.2% | -17.8% | -18.0% | -12.2% | -1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.