DUOL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.5% | +4.5% | 16.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.5% | 4.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -1.4% | -1.1% | 4.1% | 35% |
| 5-day | +2.0% | +3.6% | 18.8% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 1.54 | 1.24 | -19.7% | -3.9% | -9.4% | +17.6% | +26.0% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 1.63 | 1.45 | -10.8% | -1.7% | -5.6% | +1.9% | +4.9% |
| 2026-02-27 miss | 1.68 | 1.59 | -5.2% | -21.4% | -14.0% | +0.9% | -6.8% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 1.59 | 6.80 | +326.9% | -25.3% | -25.5% | -3.7% | +7.3% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 1.29 | 1.70 | +31.9% | +29.8% | +13.7% | -15.6% | -30.6% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.20 | 1.26 | +5.6% | +9.2% | +21.6% | +5.4% | +5.5% |
| 2025-02-28 miss | 1.09 | 0.82 | -24.5% | -13.5% | -17.0% | -5.3% | -0.5% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.94 | 1.08 | +15.3% | -4.5% | -1.0% | +2.1% | +14.2% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 0.85 | 1.01 | +18.8% | +8.4% | +10.9% | +13.0% | +21.3% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.77 | 1.12 | +46.2% | -17.8% | -18.0% | -12.2% | -1.4% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +13.0% | +23.1% | +22.2% | -11.4% | -8.7% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.42 | 0.60 | +43.6% | +10.6% | +21.4% | +2.4% | +6.5% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.31 | 0.60 | +96.8% | +6.1% | +6.6% | -10.1% | +8.0% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 0.24 | 0.44 | +82.4% | +7.2% | +10.0% | -3.6% | +5.5% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | -0.03 | 0.18 | +650.0% | +13.6% | +22.2% | +14.0% | +22.6% |
| 2022-11-10 beat | -0.07 | 0.07 | +206.8% | -3.2% | -13.4% | -7.8% | +0.8% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -0.06 | 0.09 | +241.8% | -1.5% | +4.4% | +5.2% | -11.0% |
| 2022-05-12 beat | -0.37 | 0.08 | +121.9% | +19.2% | +34.0% | -14.8% | -2.7% |
| 2022-03-03 beat | -0.35 | -0.01 | +96.1% | +0.9% | +4.6% | +2.7% | +37.6% |
| 2021-11-10 beat | -0.87 | -0.23 | +73.7% | +17.6% | +2.3% | -10.9% | -35.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.