DVA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.8% | -5.8% | 13.6% | 20% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 2.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.5% | +1.2% | 1.5% | 80% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | -3.6% | 16.0% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 3.88 | 4.02 | +3.5% | -10.0% | -17.2% | -3.8% | -3.7% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 2.33 | 2.87 | +23.2% | +7.8% | +23.5% | +2.2% | -0.9% |
| 2026-02-02 beat | 3.19 | 3.40 | +6.5% | +15.1% | +21.2% | +3.4% | +11.3% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 3.17 | 2.51 | -20.9% | -1.3% | -6.2% | +2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 2.75 | 2.95 | +7.3% | -3.0% | -9.0% | +5.4% | +7.9% |
| 2025-05-12 miss | 2.02 | 2.00 | -0.9% | -1.3% | -0.3% | +1.2% | -4.6% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 2.13 | 2.24 | +5.4% | -13.0% | -11.1% | -9.8% | -5.1% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 2.72 | 2.59 | -4.9% | -6.5% | -10.8% | +4.1% | +17.7% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 2.63 | 2.59 | -1.4% | +3.7% | -2.2% | +11.1% | +11.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.92 | 2.38 | +23.7% | +0.5% | -5.5% | +2.3% | +6.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.