DVA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 10.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.4% | 2.5% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 2.2% | 63% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +0.8% | 12.6% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 3.88 | 4.02 | +3.5% | -10.0% | -17.2% | -3.8% | -3.7% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 2.33 | 2.87 | +23.2% | +7.8% | +23.5% | +2.2% | -0.9% |
| 2026-02-02 beat | 3.19 | 3.40 | +6.5% | +15.1% | +21.2% | +3.4% | +11.3% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 3.17 | 2.51 | -20.9% | -1.3% | -6.2% | +2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 2.75 | 2.95 | +7.3% | -3.0% | -9.0% | +5.4% | +7.9% |
| 2025-05-12 miss | 2.02 | 2.00 | -0.9% | -1.3% | -0.3% | +1.2% | -4.6% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 2.13 | 2.24 | +5.4% | -13.0% | -11.1% | -9.8% | -5.1% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 2.72 | 2.59 | -4.9% | -6.5% | -10.8% | +4.1% | +17.7% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 2.63 | 2.59 | -1.4% | +3.7% | -2.2% | +11.1% | +11.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.92 | 2.38 | +23.7% | +0.5% | -5.5% | +2.3% | +6.6% |
| 2024-02-13 beat | 1.66 | 1.87 | +12.8% | +8.3% | +8.6% | -0.4% | +10.7% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 2.04 | 2.85 | +39.9% | +8.6% | +5.9% | +11.4% | +26.8% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 1.74 | 2.08 | +19.8% | +5.0% | +7.1% | -0.4% | -11.2% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 1.22 | 1.58 | +29.8% | +8.9% | +12.9% | -2.2% | -0.6% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 0.98 | 1.11 | +12.8% | +0.0% | -2.9% | -2.3% | -8.1% |
| 2022-10-28 miss | 1.76 | 1.45 | -17.6% | -20.2% | -27.1% | -0.2% | +1.6% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | 2.08 | 2.30 | +10.4% | +2.4% | +1.9% | +3.3% | -1.3% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 1.87 | 1.61 | -13.8% | -9.6% | -3.7% | -2.8% | -7.4% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 1.80 | 2.02 | +12.3% | -0.2% | +0.1% | +3.5% | -0.9% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 2.26 | 2.36 | +4.6% | -6.5% | -9.5% | +5.9% | -8.5% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 2.17 | 2.64 | +21.5% | +3.2% | +8.6% | -0.8% | -0.2% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 1.79 | 2.09 | +16.9% | -0.7% | +1.8% | +8.8% | +2.9% |
| 2021-02-11 miss | 1.87 | 1.67 | -10.5% | -0.7% | -7.4% | -4.8% | +2.5% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 1.44 | 1.80 | +25.1% | +0.0% | +0.6% | +14.3% | +25.9% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 1.30 | 1.95 | +50.0% | +0.5% | -4.1% | -5.7% | -0.7% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 1.47 | 1.83 | +24.2% | +3.6% | +4.4% | -4.1% | +7.2% |
| 2020-02-10 beat | 1.66 | 1.86 | +11.8% | +1.5% | +6.9% | -3.4% | -22.9% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | 1.24 | 1.53 | +23.2% | +8.3% | +12.9% | -1.7% | +3.1% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 1.11 | 1.22 | +10.3% | +1.8% | +1.3% | -0.7% | -2.6% |
| 2019-05-07 miss | 0.93 | 0.91 | -2.3% | -4.2% | -8.6% | -3.0% | -7.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.