EAF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.2% | -0.7% | 16.5% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -1.6% | +3.0% | 10.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -4.0% | -3.0% | 6.0% | 10% |
| 5-day | -11.9% | -6.3% | 20.7% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 beat | -1.65 | -1.47 | +10.9% | +2.1% | +4.8% | -9.7% | -13.2% |
| 2026-05-01 miss | -1.08 | -2.05 | -89.8% | -2.4% | +0.5% | +8.8% | +30.6% |
| 2026-02-06 miss | -1.16 | -2.45 | -111.9% | -22.9% | -46.2% | -21.0% | -33.3% |
| 2025-10-24 beat | -1.20 | -1.03 | +14.3% | +8.1% | -2.1% | -20.7% | -26.2% |
| 2025-07-25 miss | -1.00 | -1.60 | -60.1% | -10.4% | +14.1% | -16.9% | -35.1% |
| 2025-04-25 beat | -1.30 | -1.30 | +0.2% | -10.9% | +7.8% | -13.9% | +60.5% |
| 2025-02-07 | -1.30 | -1.30 | — | +0.0% | -9.4% | -15.6% | -20.0% |
| 2024-11-12 miss | -0.99 | -1.30 | -31.5% | +10.6% | +5.3% | -1.4% | -11.9% |
| 2024-07-26 beat | -0.88 | -0.50 | +43.1% | +25.7% | -4.7% | -20.2% | +4.1% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | -1.31 | -1.00 | +23.6% | -6.8% | -1.9% | +14.6% | +13.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.