EAF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.4% | -3.7% | 12.0% | 33% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | +1.1% | 7.5% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.4% | 5.3% | 43% |
| 5-day | -7.0% | -5.3% | 16.0% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 beat | -1.65 | -1.47 | +10.9% | +2.1% | +4.8% | -9.7% | -13.2% |
| 2026-05-01 miss | -1.08 | -2.05 | -89.8% | -2.4% | +0.5% | +8.8% | +30.6% |
| 2026-02-06 miss | -1.16 | -2.45 | -111.9% | -22.9% | -46.2% | -21.0% | -33.3% |
| 2025-10-24 beat | -1.20 | -1.03 | +14.3% | +8.1% | -2.1% | -20.7% | -26.2% |
| 2025-07-25 miss | -1.00 | -1.60 | -60.1% | -10.4% | +14.1% | -16.9% | -35.1% |
| 2025-04-25 beat | -1.30 | -1.30 | +0.2% | -10.9% | +7.8% | -13.9% | +60.5% |
| 2025-02-07 | -1.30 | -1.30 | — | +0.0% | -9.4% | -15.6% | -20.0% |
| 2024-11-12 miss | -0.99 | -1.30 | -31.5% | +10.6% | +5.3% | -1.4% | -11.9% |
| 2024-07-26 beat | -0.88 | -0.50 | +43.1% | +25.7% | -4.7% | -20.2% | +4.1% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | -1.31 | -1.00 | +23.6% | -6.8% | -1.9% | +14.6% | +13.3% |
| 2024-02-14 miss | -0.76 | -2.70 | -257.1% | -0.8% | +1.5% | -6.0% | +24.6% |
| 2023-11-03 miss | -0.20 | -0.80 | -300.0% | -6.2% | -12.1% | -19.1% | -11.7% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | -0.25 | -0.20 | +20.0% | -6.7% | -22.6% | +6.2% | -12.3% |
| 2023-04-28 miss | -0.10 | -0.20 | -100.0% | -2.7% | -0.4% | -9.3% | -6.2% |
| 2023-02-03 miss | 2.15 | 1.70 | -20.9% | -9.9% | -15.3% | -4.5% | -1.3% |
| 2022-11-04 beat | 3.65 | 3.70 | +1.4% | -2.9% | -4.9% | +4.3% | +18.7% |
| 2022-08-05 beat | 4.37 | 4.40 | +0.8% | -2.9% | -9.3% | +1.9% | -19.8% |
| 2022-05-06 beat | 4.47 | 4.80 | +7.5% | +0.9% | -6.5% | -2.2% | +6.1% |
| 2022-02-04 beat | 4.28 | 5.00 | +17.0% | +5.7% | -11.9% | -2.7% | -7.3% |
| 2021-11-05 beat | 4.28 | 4.50 | +5.3% | +3.7% | +19.1% | -4.3% | -10.4% |
| 2021-08-06 beat | 3.78 | 4.30 | +13.9% | -3.6% | -1.8% | -1.8% | +0.2% |
| 2021-05-05 miss | 3.95 | 3.71 | -6.0% | -2.4% | -8.6% | +3.7% | +7.1% |
| 2021-02-05 beat | 3.90 | 4.31 | +10.5% | +1.0% | +7.0% | +9.2% | +8.9% |
| 2020-11-03 miss | 3.70 | 3.57 | -3.5% | +2.0% | -7.0% | +24.8% | +49.7% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 2.50 | 3.56 | +42.3% | +8.0% | +5.6% | +3.4% | -3.5% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 4.25 | 4.35 | +2.3% | -10.0% | -16.0% | -8.3% | +32.8% |
| 2020-02-06 beat | 5.54 | 6.45 | +16.3% | +2.0% | -10.3% | -1.5% | -29.0% |
| 2019-11-07 miss | 6.30 | 6.15 | -2.4% | -2.7% | -7.3% | +14.1% | +7.6% |
| 2019-07-31 miss | 7.39 | 6.82 | -7.7% | +0.1% | +2.4% | -4.8% | +3.9% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 6.75 | 6.94 | +2.8% | -0.2% | -2.7% | +9.2% | -11.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.