EFX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.4% | -3.5% | 5.8% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.2% | 2.7% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +1.4% | 2.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | -3.1% | 8.7% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 2.20 | 2.25 | +2.3% | -11.7% | -3.9% | +8.1% | +11.0% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 1.70 | 1.86 | +9.7% | -4.0% | -3.0% | -10.8% | -14.3% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 2.05 | 2.09 | +1.8% | -0.9% | +3.4% | +9.1% | +14.8% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 1.94 | 2.04 | +5.3% | +1.9% | -0.5% | -2.5% | -10.3% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 1.92 | 2.00 | +4.1% | -5.7% | -8.2% | +3.7% | +4.2% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 1.40 | 1.53 | +9.0% | +12.1% | +13.8% | +5.5% | +5.5% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 2.10 | 2.12 | +1.1% | -5.7% | -8.4% | +1.4% | +1.0% |
| 2024-10-16 beat | 1.83 | 1.85 | +0.8% | -4.1% | -3.3% | -3.0% | -11.4% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 1.73 | 1.82 | +5.4% | +2.0% | +1.9% | +1.3% | +10.6% |
| 2024-04-17 beat | 1.43 | 1.50 | +4.9% | -9.3% | -8.5% | +4.0% | +14.4% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 1.75 | 1.81 | +3.3% | +3.9% | +4.2% | +3.4% | +4.4% |
| 2023-10-18 miss | 1.77 | 1.76 | -0.6% | -3.5% | +2.2% | -7.2% | +14.7% |
| 2023-07-19 beat | 1.66 | 1.71 | +3.0% | -6.3% | -8.9% | -6.2% | -11.2% |
| 2023-04-19 beat | 1.37 | 1.43 | +4.7% | +1.8% | +3.8% | +1.7% | +3.9% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 1.49 | 1.52 | +2.0% | -4.6% | -6.1% | +3.0% | -5.7% |
| 2022-10-19 beat | 1.63 | 1.73 | +6.4% | +0.4% | -6.2% | +10.9% | +33.2% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 2.00 | 2.09 | +4.4% | -1.5% | -2.2% | +3.5% | +4.1% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 2.14 | 2.22 | +3.8% | -6.9% | -8.3% | +1.7% | -4.1% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 1.81 | 1.84 | +1.6% | -3.6% | -3.8% | -8.3% | -1.2% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 1.73 | 1.85 | +7.0% | -9.2% | -5.3% | +7.9% | +13.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.