EFX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.7% | -3.1% | 6.9% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 3.3% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.8% | 2.2% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | -3.9% | 10.1% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 2.20 | 2.25 | +2.3% | -11.7% | -3.9% | +8.1% | +11.0% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 1.70 | 1.86 | +9.7% | -4.0% | -3.0% | -10.8% | -14.3% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 2.05 | 2.09 | +1.8% | -0.9% | +3.4% | +9.1% | +14.8% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 1.94 | 2.04 | +5.3% | +1.9% | -0.5% | -2.5% | -10.3% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 1.92 | 2.00 | +4.1% | -5.7% | -8.2% | +3.7% | +4.2% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 1.40 | 1.53 | +9.0% | +12.1% | +13.8% | +5.5% | +5.5% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 2.10 | 2.12 | +1.1% | -5.7% | -8.4% | +1.4% | +1.0% |
| 2024-10-16 beat | 1.83 | 1.85 | +0.8% | -4.1% | -3.3% | -3.0% | -11.4% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 1.73 | 1.82 | +5.4% | +2.0% | +1.9% | +1.3% | +10.6% |
| 2024-04-17 beat | 1.43 | 1.50 | +4.9% | -9.3% | -8.5% | +4.0% | +14.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.