EFX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -1.3% | 5.4% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 2.1% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.7% | 52% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +1.2% | 7.2% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 2.20 | 2.25 | +2.3% | -11.7% | -3.9% | +8.1% | +11.0% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 1.70 | 1.86 | +9.7% | -4.0% | -3.0% | -10.8% | -14.3% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 2.05 | 2.09 | +1.8% | -0.9% | +3.4% | +9.1% | +14.8% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 1.94 | 2.04 | +5.3% | +1.9% | -0.5% | -2.5% | -10.3% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 1.92 | 2.00 | +4.1% | -5.7% | -8.2% | +3.7% | +4.2% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 1.40 | 1.53 | +9.0% | +12.1% | +13.8% | +5.5% | +5.5% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 2.10 | 2.12 | +1.1% | -5.7% | -8.4% | +1.4% | +1.0% |
| 2024-10-16 beat | 1.83 | 1.85 | +0.8% | -4.1% | -3.3% | -3.0% | -11.4% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 1.73 | 1.82 | +5.4% | +2.0% | +1.9% | +1.3% | +10.6% |
| 2024-04-17 beat | 1.43 | 1.50 | +4.9% | -9.3% | -8.5% | +4.0% | +14.4% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 1.75 | 1.81 | +3.3% | +3.9% | +4.2% | +3.4% | +4.4% |
| 2023-10-18 miss | 1.77 | 1.76 | -0.6% | -3.5% | +2.2% | -7.2% | +14.7% |
| 2023-07-19 beat | 1.66 | 1.71 | +3.0% | -6.3% | -8.9% | -6.2% | -11.2% |
| 2023-04-19 beat | 1.37 | 1.43 | +4.7% | +1.8% | +3.8% | +1.7% | +3.9% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 1.49 | 1.52 | +2.0% | -4.6% | -6.1% | +3.0% | -5.7% |
| 2022-10-19 beat | 1.63 | 1.73 | +6.4% | +0.4% | -6.2% | +10.9% | +33.2% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 2.00 | 2.09 | +4.4% | -1.5% | -2.2% | +3.5% | +4.1% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 2.14 | 2.22 | +3.8% | -6.9% | -8.3% | +1.7% | -4.1% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 1.81 | 1.84 | +1.6% | -3.6% | -3.8% | -8.3% | -1.2% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 1.73 | 1.85 | +7.0% | -9.2% | -5.3% | +7.9% | +13.1% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 1.72 | 1.98 | +15.4% | +0.8% | -2.1% | +4.4% | +3.5% |
| 2021-04-21 beat | 1.55 | 1.97 | +27.0% | +13.1% | +14.9% | +3.0% | +7.1% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | 1.83 | 2.00 | +9.3% | -1.1% | -3.3% | -0.2% | -1.9% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 1.60 | 1.87 | +17.0% | -2.6% | -4.0% | -10.5% | +10.1% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 1.30 | 1.60 | +23.1% | +4.2% | +5.1% | -7.5% | -9.8% |
| 2020-04-20 beat | 1.28 | 1.40 | +9.5% | +0.2% | +3.4% | +8.2% | +15.0% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 1.49 | 1.53 | +2.4% | +0.9% | +5.0% | -1.7% | -20.5% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 1.45 | 1.48 | +2.2% | +0.5% | -1.2% | -0.7% | +0.3% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 1.36 | 1.40 | +2.9% | +0.1% | -3.3% | +0.4% | +3.0% |
| 2019-05-10 beat | 1.19 | 1.20 | +0.5% | -1.3% | +0.3% | +1.4% | +7.7% |
| 2019-02-20 beat | 1.32 | 1.38 | +4.5% | -1.0% | +2.2% | -0.9% | +2.2% |
| 2018-10-24 miss | 1.42 | 1.41 | -0.9% | -6.6% | -14.8% | +6.5% | +4.0% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | 1.54 | 1.56 | +1.1% | -3.2% | -3.5% | +2.1% | +7.6% |
| 2018-04-25 beat | 1.37 | 1.43 | +4.6% | -1.8% | -3.2% | -3.0% | -0.7% |
| 2018-03-01 beat | 1.35 | 1.39 | +2.8% | +1.1% | +5.1% | +6.6% | +1.0% |
| 2017-11-09 beat | 1.49 | 1.53 | +2.6% | +1.1% | -0.2% | +2.4% | +8.7% |
| 2017-07-26 beat | 1.57 | 1.60 | +1.9% | -2.5% | -2.4% | +1.6% | -1.4% |
| 2017-04-26 beat | 1.41 | 1.44 | +2.4% | -4.1% | -1.8% | +0.5% | +0.2% |
| 2017-02-08 beat | 1.37 | 1.42 | +3.4% | +0.0% | +5.0% | +1.4% | +4.1% |
| 2016-10-26 beat | 1.36 | 1.44 | +6.2% | -1.5% | -4.3% | -0.2% | -3.2% |
| 2016-07-27 beat | 1.36 | 1.43 | +5.2% | -0.7% | -1.4% | -1.7% | -1.5% |
| 2016-04-27 beat | 1.15 | 1.23 | +6.6% | -0.7% | +1.4% | -0.2% | +5.0% |
| 2016-02-10 beat | 1.11 | 1.14 | +2.5% | -0.6% | -1.1% | +8.1% | +17.4% |
| 2015-10-21 beat | 1.10 | 1.14 | +3.8% | -1.4% | -2.5% | +3.3% | +6.7% |
| 2015-07-22 beat | 1.10 | 1.15 | +4.2% | +3.0% | +1.3% | +2.0% | -0.8% |
| 2015-04-22 beat | 1.02 | 1.07 | +4.6% | +4.1% | +4.5% | -1.5% | +1.9% |
| 2015-02-11 beat | 1.01 | 1.02 | +0.7% | +2.2% | +8.5% | +0.9% | -0.6% |
| 2014-10-22 beat | 0.98 | 1.01 | +2.6% | +0.3% | -1.5% | +3.8% | +7.9% |
| 2014-07-23 beat | 0.94 | 0.96 | +1.7% | -0.4% | +3.0% | -0.7% | +2.1% |
| 2014-04-23 beat | 0.87 | 0.89 | +2.6% | -2.8% | -1.4% | +2.2% | +0.7% |
| 2014-02-13 miss | 0.91 | 0.91 | -0.1% | -3.1% | -2.8% | +0.0% | +4.3% |
| 2013-10-23 beat | 0.89 | 0.90 | +1.1% | +0.9% | +4.0% | +1.5% | +6.5% |
| 2013-07-24 beat | 0.90 | 0.92 | +2.4% | -0.6% | +1.9% | +4.3% | +0.9% |
| 2013-04-24 beat | 0.87 | 0.87 | +0.3% | +0.7% | +2.9% | -0.3% | -0.7% |
| 2013-02-06 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.2% | -0.3% | -6.5% | -2.8% | +1.6% |
| 2012-10-24 beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.5% | +1.9% | +0.7% | +1.1% | +3.8% |
| 2012-07-25 beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +2.9% | +0.6% | -3.2% | -3.0% | +0.2% |
| 2012-04-25 beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +7.3% | +1.2% | +5.4% | +0.2% | -1.5% |
| 2012-02-08 beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +2.6% | +0.8% | +7.6% | +0.4% | +4.0% |
| 2011-10-26 beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +4.1% | +2.6% | +5.2% | +0.3% | -2.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.