ELF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.2% | -2.2% | 18.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.2% | +2.8% | 5.3% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +2.9% | +2.9% | 6.2% | 80% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | +7.5% | 20.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.72 | 1.75 | +143.9% | +3.5% | +6.9% | -0.3% | +18.8% |
| 2026-05-20 beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +12.2% | +6.6% | +4.7% | +5.4% | +19.5% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 0.72 | 1.24 | +71.4% | +8.7% | -9.2% | -3.3% | +0.4% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.57 | 0.68 | +19.9% | -24.1% | -35.0% | -2.8% | +1.0% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.84 | 0.89 | +6.3% | -11.5% | -9.5% | +19.7% | +38.1% |
| 2025-05-28 beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +8.3% | +20.3% | +23.6% | +3.5% | +11.3% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.76 | 0.74 | -2.5% | -25.1% | -19.6% | +2.6% | -2.3% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.43 | 0.77 | +80.9% | +5.8% | +11.4% | +6.1% | +21.0% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.84 | 1.10 | +30.8% | -11.0% | -14.4% | -1.0% | -31.3% |
| 2024-05-22 beat | 0.33 | 0.53 | +59.7% | +11.0% | +18.7% | +1.2% | +13.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.