ELF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.3% | +4.7% | 13.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.2% | 3.6% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +1.6% | +1.4% | 4.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | +4.4% | +6.1% | 14.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.72 | 1.75 | +143.9% | +3.5% | +6.9% | -0.3% | +18.8% |
| 2026-05-20 beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +12.2% | +6.6% | +4.7% | +5.4% | +19.5% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 0.72 | 1.24 | +71.4% | +8.7% | -9.2% | -3.3% | +0.4% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.57 | 0.68 | +19.9% | -24.1% | -35.0% | -2.8% | +1.0% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.84 | 0.89 | +6.3% | -11.5% | -9.5% | +19.7% | +38.1% |
| 2025-05-28 beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +8.3% | +20.3% | +23.6% | +3.5% | +11.3% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.76 | 0.74 | -2.5% | -25.1% | -19.6% | +2.6% | -2.3% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.43 | 0.77 | +80.9% | +5.8% | +11.4% | +6.1% | +21.0% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.84 | 1.10 | +30.8% | -11.0% | -14.4% | -1.0% | -31.3% |
| 2024-05-22 beat | 0.33 | 0.53 | +59.7% | +11.0% | +18.7% | +1.2% | +13.0% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 0.56 | 0.74 | +32.6% | -1.2% | -4.9% | +1.2% | +21.9% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.53 | 0.82 | +56.0% | +11.7% | +3.7% | +1.5% | +29.2% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.57 | 1.10 | +92.5% | +15.5% | +14.3% | -1.7% | +4.1% |
| 2023-05-24 beat | 0.20 | 0.42 | +113.6% | +10.7% | +20.5% | +1.0% | +5.7% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 0.23 | 0.48 | +105.7% | +18.4% | +15.0% | +8.2% | +7.1% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 0.16 | 0.36 | +126.6% | +8.8% | +15.4% | +7.2% | +12.1% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.24 | 0.39 | +65.1% | +7.6% | +6.8% | +0.6% | +5.9% |
| 2022-05-25 beat | 0.06 | 0.13 | +105.6% | +3.7% | +11.2% | +7.3% | +16.2% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 0.15 | 0.24 | +57.5% | +1.3% | -3.6% | -2.4% | -19.2% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.12 | 0.21 | +68.3% | -9.6% | -9.0% | +3.4% | +0.6% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.14 | 0.27 | +89.8% | +9.6% | +6.3% | -0.4% | +2.8% |
| 2021-05-26 beat | 0.09 | 0.16 | +69.4% | -5.4% | -3.8% | -4.3% | -3.4% |
| 2021-02-03 miss | 0.24 | 0.22 | -8.8% | -3.1% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +12.8% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +27.5% | -11.2% | -9.0% | +8.6% | +14.6% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 0.04 | 0.17 | +356.6% | +9.9% | +8.3% | -1.9% | -7.1% |
| 2020-05-21 beat | 0.05 | 0.10 | +112.8% | +10.0% | +16.8% | -0.7% | +7.8% |
| 2020-02-05 beat | 0.15 | 0.24 | +55.8% | +9.7% | +9.2% | +4.8% | -25.8% |
| 2019-11-06 beat | 0.09 | 0.15 | +63.4% | +10.4% | -3.4% | -5.2% | -12.3% |
| 2019-08-07 beat | 0.06 | 0.14 | +127.1% | +5.1% | +4.6% | -5.2% | -2.8% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +6.0% | -17.9% | -7.3% | +5.8% | +7.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.