EME chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.8% | +2.2% | 6.8% | 63% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +1.1% | 3.1% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 2.1% | 67% |
| 5-day | +4.1% | +4.1% | 9.0% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 7.23 | 9.06 | +25.3% | +14.7% | +19.3% | +0.8% | -7.8% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 5.90 | 6.84 | +15.8% | +0.2% | -3.5% | +13.2% | -0.8% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 6.68 | 7.19 | +7.6% | -2.7% | -6.9% | -3.6% | -1.8% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 6.53 | 6.57 | +0.7% | -14.4% | -16.6% | +0.9% | -6.2% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 5.72 | 6.72 | +17.4% | +4.4% | -1.9% | -1.6% | -1.2% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 4.63 | 5.41 | +17.0% | -6.8% | -3.0% | +8.3% | +17.8% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 5.76 | 6.32 | +9.8% | +5.5% | +5.7% | -6.7% | -9.9% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 4.97 | 5.80 | +16.8% | +1.7% | +3.3% | +13.1% | +13.2% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 3.68 | 5.25 | +42.9% | +8.9% | -2.8% | +5.6% | +10.3% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 2.91 | 4.17 | +43.5% | +6.0% | +3.1% | +2.0% | +14.1% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 3.59 | 4.47 | +24.6% | +4.8% | +10.1% | +6.6% | +14.7% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 2.68 | 3.61 | +34.7% | +7.9% | +7.5% | +0.7% | +6.5% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 2.37 | 2.95 | +24.5% | +3.1% | +6.0% | +7.3% | +9.8% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 1.83 | 2.32 | +26.8% | +2.7% | +8.6% | -3.6% | -0.3% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 2.29 | 2.63 | +15.0% | +6.0% | +10.6% | +2.9% | -3.3% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 2.10 | 2.16 | +3.0% | +3.8% | +4.1% | +5.9% | +13.7% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.70 | 1.99 | +17.4% | +2.8% | +5.3% | -0.2% | +5.2% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 1.62 | 1.39 | -14.3% | +1.1% | -5.9% | +1.0% | +2.2% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 1.89 | 1.89 | +0.1% | -2.4% | -2.3% | +2.4% | +3.1% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.79 | 1.85 | +3.1% | +4.3% | +6.8% | +1.9% | -2.0% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 1.58 | 1.78 | +12.8% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -2.0% | +0.9% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 1.24 | 1.54 | +23.8% | +0.8% | +0.9% | +2.0% | +3.7% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 1.43 | 1.45 | +1.3% | +1.3% | +1.3% | +0.3% | +12.1% |
| 2020-10-29 miss | 1.23 | 1.11 | -9.9% | +0.7% | +3.7% | +11.3% | +29.9% |
| 2020-08-03 beat | 0.91 | 1.44 | +58.6% | +3.6% | +3.8% | +7.6% | +6.7% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | 1.35 | 1.35 | -0.2% | -3.7% | -9.0% | -5.5% | +2.0% |
| 2020-02-27 beat | 1.50 | 1.54 | +2.8% | -5.7% | -0.9% | -0.7% | -26.2% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 1.44 | 1.45 | +0.7% | -3.8% | +0.9% | +2.5% | -0.2% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.33 | 1.49 | +12.0% | +3.4% | +0.9% | -4.3% | -2.8% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 1.07 | 1.28 | +19.9% | +1.3% | +5.0% | -2.4% | -3.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.