EME chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | +1.1% | 5.9% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 2.4% | 58% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.4% | 1.8% | 57% |
| 5-day | +3.1% | +3.4% | 7.8% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 7.23 | 9.06 | +25.3% | +14.7% | +19.3% | +0.8% | -7.8% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 5.90 | 6.84 | +15.8% | +0.2% | -3.5% | +13.2% | -0.8% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 6.68 | 7.19 | +7.6% | -2.7% | -6.9% | -3.6% | -1.8% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 6.53 | 6.57 | +0.7% | -14.4% | -16.6% | +0.9% | -6.2% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 5.72 | 6.72 | +17.4% | +4.4% | -1.9% | -1.6% | -1.2% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 4.63 | 5.41 | +17.0% | -6.8% | -3.0% | +8.3% | +17.8% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 5.76 | 6.32 | +9.8% | +5.5% | +5.7% | -6.7% | -9.9% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 4.97 | 5.80 | +16.8% | +1.7% | +3.3% | +13.1% | +13.2% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 3.68 | 5.25 | +42.9% | +8.9% | -2.8% | +5.6% | +10.3% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 2.91 | 4.17 | +43.5% | +6.0% | +3.1% | +2.0% | +14.1% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 3.59 | 4.47 | +24.6% | +4.8% | +10.1% | +6.6% | +14.7% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 2.68 | 3.61 | +34.7% | +7.9% | +7.5% | +0.7% | +6.5% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 2.37 | 2.95 | +24.5% | +3.1% | +6.0% | +7.3% | +9.8% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 1.83 | 2.32 | +26.8% | +2.7% | +8.6% | -3.6% | -0.3% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 2.29 | 2.63 | +15.0% | +6.0% | +10.6% | +2.9% | -3.3% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 2.10 | 2.16 | +3.0% | +3.8% | +4.1% | +5.9% | +13.7% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.70 | 1.99 | +17.4% | +2.8% | +5.3% | -0.2% | +5.2% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 1.62 | 1.39 | -14.3% | +1.1% | -5.9% | +1.0% | +2.2% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 1.89 | 1.89 | +0.1% | -2.4% | -2.3% | +2.4% | +3.1% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.79 | 1.85 | +3.1% | +4.3% | +6.8% | +1.9% | -2.0% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 1.58 | 1.78 | +12.8% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -2.0% | +0.9% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 1.24 | 1.54 | +23.8% | +0.8% | +0.9% | +2.0% | +3.7% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 1.43 | 1.45 | +1.3% | +1.3% | +1.3% | +0.3% | +12.1% |
| 2020-10-29 miss | 1.23 | 1.11 | -9.9% | +0.7% | +3.7% | +11.3% | +29.9% |
| 2020-08-03 beat | 0.91 | 1.44 | +58.6% | +3.6% | +3.8% | +7.6% | +6.7% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | 1.35 | 1.35 | -0.2% | -3.7% | -9.0% | -5.5% | +2.0% |
| 2020-02-27 beat | 1.50 | 1.54 | +2.8% | -5.7% | -0.9% | -0.7% | -26.2% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 1.44 | 1.45 | +0.7% | -3.8% | +0.9% | +2.5% | -0.2% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.33 | 1.49 | +12.0% | +3.4% | +0.9% | -4.3% | -2.8% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 1.07 | 1.28 | +19.9% | +1.3% | +5.0% | -2.4% | -3.3% |
| 2019-02-21 beat | 1.35 | 1.38 | +2.0% | +0.0% | +2.5% | +2.2% | +3.6% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 1.22 | 1.36 | +11.5% | +2.2% | +6.7% | +5.5% | +6.5% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 1.00 | 1.23 | +23.0% | +0.7% | -2.8% | +2.3% | +6.9% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.86 | 0.94 | +9.0% | +0.4% | -7.2% | -0.2% | +1.9% |
| 2018-02-22 beat | 0.86 | 1.13 | +31.0% | +0.1% | +1.0% | -0.2% | -1.1% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.82 | 1.09 | +32.5% | +4.9% | +9.1% | +5.8% | +1.9% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 0.83 | 0.95 | +15.2% | +4.4% | +7.9% | -2.4% | -7.9% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.67 | 0.88 | +30.9% | +1.1% | +3.2% | -1.5% | -5.6% |
| 2017-02-23 miss | 0.83 | 0.72 | -13.6% | -4.3% | -10.0% | +3.6% | -0.8% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 0.77 | 0.85 | +10.4% | +3.1% | +6.2% | +0.9% | +18.2% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.70 | 0.95 | +34.9% | +1.2% | +6.5% | -1.1% | +1.9% |
| 2016-04-28 miss | 0.58 | 0.57 | -1.0% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -1.9% | -1.4% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | 0.77 | 0.80 | +3.6% | +3.6% | -1.0% | +4.7% | +4.1% |
| 2015-10-29 miss | 0.71 | 0.66 | -7.3% | -0.7% | +0.3% | +3.5% | +5.7% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 0.66 | 0.74 | +12.1% | -0.4% | +1.8% | +1.5% | -3.8% |
| 2015-04-30 miss | 0.62 | 0.52 | -15.6% | -2.4% | -3.8% | +2.1% | +2.6% |
| 2015-02-26 miss | 0.75 | 0.68 | -9.3% | -2.8% | -1.5% | +0.9% | +4.9% |
| 2014-10-28 miss | 0.65 | 0.57 | -11.6% | +0.1% | -0.4% | +6.6% | +6.9% |
| 2014-07-29 beat | 0.61 | 0.61 | +0.6% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -3.1% | +2.1% |
| 2014-04-29 beat | 0.53 | 0.64 | +20.3% | +4.0% | +1.2% | -0.8% | -2.4% |
| 2014-02-25 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +7.5% | -1.2% | +3.0% | +2.8% | +3.3% |
| 2013-10-24 miss | 0.59 | 0.48 | -18.6% | -2.8% | -5.5% | -1.7% | +2.7% |
| 2013-07-25 miss | 0.52 | 0.48 | -8.1% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -0.1% | -7.3% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +4.6% | -0.2% | -1.5% | -4.6% | +2.7% |
| 2013-02-26 beat | 0.61 | 0.68 | +11.5% | -0.8% | +1.6% | +2.3% | +11.9% |
| 2012-10-25 beat | 0.50 | 0.59 | +19.2% | +8.4% | +9.3% | +5.4% | +4.9% |
| 2012-07-26 beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +8.9% | +2.2% | +0.3% | -2.0% | +4.2% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +13.8% | +0.3% | +4.9% | +1.0% | -3.9% |
| 2012-02-23 beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +5.3% | -7.2% | -6.5% | +0.3% | -1.5% |
| 2011-10-27 miss | 0.47 | 0.47 | -0.8% | +0.3% | +10.4% | +1.1% | -4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.