EPAC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | -1.8% | 5.9% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 3.4% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.0% | 2.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.5% | +0.2% | 6.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 beat | 0.49 | 0.60 | +21.6% | +4.4% | +6.3% | -5.5% | +2.7% |
| 2026-03-25 | 0.39 | 0.39 | — | -4.0% | -7.8% | +2.6% | +3.7% |
| 2025-12-17 miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -2.7% | -10.5% | -8.8% | +12.6% | +16.3% |
| 2025-10-15 beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +2.0% | +4.7% | +4.8% | +0.5% | -8.2% |
| 2025-06-26 beat | 0.47 | 0.51 | +8.5% | +1.9% | -5.9% | -9.2% | -7.2% |
| 2025-03-24 miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -1.3% | -0.5% | +8.4% | -1.9% | -14.7% |
| 2024-12-18 miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -2.4% | -5.1% | -2.5% | -7.8% | -0.3% |
| 2024-10-15 miss | 0.53 | 0.50 | -5.7% | -10.6% | -1.1% | +1.0% | +11.7% |
| 2024-06-24 | 0.47 | 0.47 | — | -7.7% | -3.0% | +1.7% | +7.4% |
| 2024-03-20 | 0.36 | 0.36 | — | -5.8% | -1.0% | +2.6% | +1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.