EPAC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.9% | -3.0% | 6.4% | 33% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 3.9% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +0.9% | 2.5% | 63% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -0.8% | 7.9% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 beat | 0.49 | 0.60 | +21.6% | +4.4% | +6.3% | -5.5% | +2.7% |
| 2026-03-25 | 0.39 | 0.39 | — | -4.0% | -7.8% | +2.6% | +3.7% |
| 2025-12-17 miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -2.7% | -10.5% | -8.8% | +12.6% | +16.3% |
| 2025-10-15 beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +2.0% | +4.7% | +4.8% | +0.5% | -8.2% |
| 2025-06-26 beat | 0.47 | 0.51 | +8.5% | +1.9% | -5.9% | -9.2% | -7.2% |
| 2025-03-24 miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -1.3% | -0.5% | +8.4% | -1.9% | -14.7% |
| 2024-12-18 miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -2.4% | -5.1% | -2.5% | -7.8% | -0.3% |
| 2024-10-15 miss | 0.53 | 0.50 | -5.7% | -10.6% | -1.1% | +1.0% | +11.7% |
| 2024-06-24 | 0.47 | 0.47 | — | -7.7% | -3.0% | +1.7% | +7.4% |
| 2024-03-20 | 0.36 | 0.36 | — | -5.8% | -1.0% | +2.6% | +1.4% |
| 2023-12-19 beat | 0.32 | 0.39 | +21.9% | +6.2% | +2.1% | +2.5% | +0.3% |
| 2022-09-28 beat | 0.27 | 0.37 | +37.0% | +2.1% | +7.0% | +15.6% | +40.1% |
| 2022-06-28 miss | 0.28 | 0.16 | -42.2% | -4.8% | -6.4% | +3.7% | +9.5% |
| 2022-03-23 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +12.0% | +7.8% | +4.7% | +2.5% | -1.8% |
| 2021-12-21 miss | 0.21 | 0.16 | -23.1% | -1.6% | -9.2% | +3.6% | -7.9% |
| 2021-09-29 miss | 0.24 | 0.19 | -21.5% | -9.2% | -6.3% | -1.4% | -2.0% |
| 2021-06-29 beat | 0.18 | 0.28 | +60.0% | +12.4% | +7.7% | -0.5% | -4.2% |
| 2021-03-24 miss | 0.12 | 0.06 | -50.0% | -0.2% | -6.7% | +10.9% | +14.2% |
| 2020-12-21 miss | 0.10 | 0.09 | -6.2% | -2.9% | -3.0% | +0.4% | -0.2% |
| 2020-09-30 miss | 0.08 | 0.02 | -76.0% | -13.7% | -5.9% | +5.8% | -5.0% |
| 2020-06-25 miss | 0.11 | -0.06 | -154.6% | -5.8% | -3.0% | +8.5% | +18.0% |
| 2020-03-19 miss | 0.12 | 0.09 | -22.9% | -7.8% | +6.0% | -8.0% | -14.5% |
| 2019-12-19 beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +27.7% | +1.5% | +0.5% | -1.7% | -11.1% |
| 2019-09-26 beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +16.7% | -14.7% | -11.9% | -2.5% | +10.9% |
| 2019-06-26 beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +11.6% | -1.4% | -5.7% | +6.2% | +0.8% |
| 2019-03-21 beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +9.9% | -1.8% | -6.0% | +0.5% | +6.2% |
| 2018-12-20 beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +11.9% | -7.3% | -11.2% | +0.3% | +6.5% |
| 2018-09-26 beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +10.2% | -4.9% | -7.2% | +1.4% | -14.7% |
| 2018-06-20 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +9.1% | +0.2% | +11.9% | -0.3% | -3.6% |
| 2018-03-21 miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -8.0% | -5.1% | -3.8% | +0.0% | +7.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.