ESNT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.5% | 3.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +1.0% | 1.7% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.4% | 1.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | +0.6% | 4.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 beat | 1.76 | 2.08 | +18.4% | +0.1% | +4.9% | +1.2% | -0.4% |
| 2026-05-08 beat | 1.72 | 1.82 | +6.0% | +3.0% | +2.5% | -4.3% | -8.5% |
| 2026-02-13 miss | 1.74 | 1.60 | -7.8% | -4.8% | -6.4% | -3.7% | -4.8% |
| 2025-11-07 miss | 1.77 | 1.67 | -5.8% | -6.3% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2025-08-08 beat | 1.71 | 1.93 | +13.0% | +2.4% | +5.7% | +2.6% | +4.6% |
| 2025-05-09 beat | 1.65 | 1.69 | +2.5% | +2.2% | -0.3% | +2.2% | -1.0% |
| 2025-02-14 miss | 1.65 | 1.58 | -4.3% | -1.9% | -2.6% | +0.0% | -2.2% |
| 2024-11-01 miss | 1.74 | 1.65 | -5.3% | -4.2% | -10.4% | +2.8% | +5.7% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 1.68 | 1.91 | +13.9% | -2.6% | -2.1% | -0.3% | +5.9% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 1.59 | 1.70 | +6.9% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +4.0% | +4.7% |
| 2024-02-09 beat | 1.59 | 1.64 | +2.9% | +3.2% | -2.2% | +1.2% | +7.6% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.56 | 1.66 | +6.1% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -0.5% | +2.7% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | 1.49 | 1.61 | +8.1% | +1.1% | +3.2% | -0.8% | -6.6% |
| 2023-05-05 beat | 1.44 | 1.59 | +10.5% | +3.8% | +3.9% | +1.5% | +8.7% |
| 2023-02-10 miss | 1.49 | 1.37 | -8.0% | -1.2% | -0.2% | +2.8% | -9.4% |
| 2022-11-04 beat | 1.51 | 1.66 | +9.9% | -0.7% | -1.3% | +3.0% | -0.5% |
| 2022-08-05 beat | 1.51 | 2.16 | +43.2% | +1.1% | +0.6% | +2.1% | -10.1% |
| 2022-05-06 beat | 1.47 | 2.52 | +71.8% | +0.0% | +1.7% | -3.5% | +3.8% |
| 2022-02-11 beat | 1.40 | 1.55 | +10.6% | +1.3% | +0.4% | -1.7% | -8.6% |
| 2021-11-05 beat | 1.35 | 1.47 | +9.0% | +5.3% | +2.1% | -3.7% | -8.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.