ESNT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.7% | 3.6% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.9% | 2.0% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.2% | 2.1% | 51% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.1% | 5.4% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 beat | 1.76 | 2.08 | +18.4% | +0.1% | +4.9% | +1.2% | -0.4% |
| 2026-05-08 beat | 1.72 | 1.82 | +6.0% | +3.0% | +2.5% | -4.3% | -8.5% |
| 2026-02-13 miss | 1.74 | 1.60 | -7.8% | -4.8% | -6.4% | -3.7% | -4.8% |
| 2025-11-07 miss | 1.77 | 1.67 | -5.8% | -6.3% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2025-08-08 beat | 1.71 | 1.93 | +13.0% | +2.4% | +5.7% | +2.6% | +4.6% |
| 2025-05-09 beat | 1.65 | 1.69 | +2.5% | +2.2% | -0.3% | +2.2% | -1.0% |
| 2025-02-14 miss | 1.65 | 1.58 | -4.3% | -1.9% | -2.6% | +0.0% | -2.2% |
| 2024-11-01 miss | 1.74 | 1.65 | -5.3% | -4.2% | -10.4% | +2.8% | +5.7% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 1.68 | 1.91 | +13.9% | -2.6% | -2.1% | -0.3% | +5.9% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 1.59 | 1.70 | +6.9% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +4.0% | +4.7% |
| 2024-02-09 beat | 1.59 | 1.64 | +2.9% | +3.2% | -2.2% | +1.2% | +7.6% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.56 | 1.66 | +6.1% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -0.5% | +2.7% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | 1.49 | 1.61 | +8.1% | +1.1% | +3.2% | -0.8% | -6.6% |
| 2023-05-05 beat | 1.44 | 1.59 | +10.5% | +3.8% | +3.9% | +1.5% | +8.7% |
| 2023-02-10 miss | 1.49 | 1.37 | -8.0% | -1.2% | -0.2% | +2.8% | -9.4% |
| 2022-11-04 beat | 1.51 | 1.66 | +9.9% | -0.7% | -1.3% | +3.0% | -0.5% |
| 2022-08-05 beat | 1.51 | 2.16 | +43.2% | +1.1% | +0.6% | +2.1% | -10.1% |
| 2022-05-06 beat | 1.47 | 2.52 | +71.8% | +0.0% | +1.7% | -3.5% | +3.8% |
| 2022-02-11 beat | 1.40 | 1.55 | +10.6% | +1.3% | +0.4% | -1.7% | -8.6% |
| 2021-11-05 beat | 1.35 | 1.47 | +9.0% | +5.3% | +2.1% | -3.7% | -8.5% |
| 2021-08-06 beat | 1.26 | 1.42 | +12.4% | +2.7% | +3.6% | -0.6% | -3.1% |
| 2021-05-07 miss | 1.21 | 1.21 | -0.2% | +1.8% | +0.6% | -4.4% | -1.6% |
| 2021-02-19 miss | 1.22 | 1.10 | -10.1% | -5.0% | +1.9% | -6.8% | -3.2% |
| 2020-11-06 beat | 0.95 | 1.11 | +16.6% | +2.5% | -2.2% | +4.0% | +8.4% |
| 2020-08-07 miss | 0.39 | 0.15 | -62.0% | -3.2% | -0.7% | +1.2% | +2.4% |
| 2020-05-08 beat | 1.37 | 1.52 | +10.9% | +9.8% | -3.8% | -3.9% | +37.3% |
| 2020-02-14 beat | 1.43 | 1.49 | +4.6% | -2.0% | -5.9% | -3.4% | -30.1% |
| 2019-11-08 beat | 1.38 | 1.47 | +6.7% | +1.6% | +1.9% | +0.1% | +1.0% |
| 2019-08-02 beat | 1.31 | 1.39 | +6.2% | +1.5% | +0.8% | +3.0% | +5.8% |
| 2019-05-03 beat | 1.26 | 1.30 | +3.5% | +1.3% | +0.0% | -1.2% | -1.0% |
| 2019-02-08 beat | 1.19 | 1.31 | +10.5% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +7.1% | +4.5% |
| 2018-11-09 beat | 1.14 | 1.18 | +3.7% | +4.5% | -3.6% | +1.1% | -11.8% |
| 2018-08-03 beat | 1.06 | 1.14 | +7.8% | +2.5% | +4.4% | +2.7% | +9.7% |
| 2018-05-04 beat | 1.03 | 1.13 | +9.3% | -0.4% | +3.6% | -0.4% | -0.1% |
| 2018-02-09 miss | 0.80 | 0.79 | -0.8% | +1.2% | +1.2% | +7.5% | -3.5% |
| 2017-11-09 beat | 0.77 | 0.82 | +6.4% | +0.5% | +1.0% | +6.3% | +10.8% |
| 2017-08-04 beat | 0.70 | 0.77 | +9.8% | +1.0% | +4.3% | -4.5% | -6.8% |
| 2017-05-05 beat | 0.69 | 0.72 | +4.2% | +0.0% | -2.2% | +2.2% | -2.6% |
| 2017-02-10 beat | 0.63 | 0.68 | +8.2% | +2.7% | +0.7% | -2.2% | -0.5% |
| 2016-11-04 beat | 0.58 | 0.65 | +11.1% | +5.7% | +3.4% | +7.7% | +21.1% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | 0.53 | 0.57 | +7.0% | +4.9% | +5.3% | +3.0% | +6.2% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +5.5% | +4.7% | +6.3% | -3.1% | +6.1% |
| 2016-02-12 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +1.7% | +2.9% | +1.4% | +13.7% | +14.4% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +1.4% | -0.2% | +1.0% | -2.6% | +0.0% |
| 2015-08-07 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +4.0% | -0.8% | -8.1% | +5.6% | -1.2% |
| 2015-05-08 beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +7.7% | +1.9% | +3.3% | -0.8% | -4.0% |
| 2015-02-13 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +7.4% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -3.6% | +0.2% |
| 2014-11-06 beat | 0.26 | 0.29 | +12.2% | +0.3% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2014-08-08 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +8.7% | +2.7% | +7.4% | +4.3% | +14.9% |
| 2014-05-08 beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +0.6% | +3.8% | +4.6% | -1.6% | +3.8% |
| 2014-02-19 beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +1.5% | -1.0% | -4.3% | -4.0% | -3.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.