ESTC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +4.3% | 16.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 3.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.2% | 2.1% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -0.5% | 16.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 beat | 0.58 | 0.70 | +19.9% | +24.1% | +19.3% | -8.1% | — |
| 2026-05-28 beat | 0.56 | 0.61 | +8.4% | -6.4% | +12.3% | -4.5% | -11.9% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +13.0% | -10.5% | -15.4% | +3.2% | -5.1% |
| 2025-11-20 beat | 0.58 | 0.64 | +11.1% | -11.6% | -14.7% | +1.5% | +9.9% |
| 2025-08-28 beat | 0.42 | 0.60 | +43.4% | +7.5% | -3.1% | +8.5% | -0.7% |
| 2025-05-29 beat | 0.37 | 0.47 | +25.9% | -15.4% | -12.1% | +6.8% | +3.5% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.47 | 0.63 | +34.4% | +11.6% | +14.9% | -18.4% | -23.4% |
| 2024-11-21 beat | 0.38 | 0.59 | +54.7% | +24.9% | +14.8% | +4.7% | -4.1% |
| 2024-08-29 beat | 0.25 | 0.35 | +38.1% | -23.6% | -26.5% | -6.7% | -1.5% |
| 2024-05-30 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +5.6% | +14.8% | +11.7% | +7.6% | +10.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.