ESTC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.7% | -1.5% | 14.5% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | +0.1% | 3.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 3.3% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | -4.9% | 17.3% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 beat | 0.58 | 0.70 | +19.9% | +24.1% | +19.3% | -8.1% | — |
| 2026-05-28 beat | 0.56 | 0.61 | +8.4% | -6.4% | +12.3% | -4.5% | -11.9% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +13.0% | -10.5% | -15.4% | +3.2% | -5.1% |
| 2025-11-20 beat | 0.58 | 0.64 | +11.1% | -11.6% | -14.7% | +1.5% | +9.9% |
| 2025-08-28 beat | 0.42 | 0.60 | +43.4% | +7.5% | -3.1% | +8.5% | -0.7% |
| 2025-05-29 beat | 0.37 | 0.47 | +25.9% | -15.4% | -12.1% | +6.8% | +3.5% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.47 | 0.63 | +34.4% | +11.6% | +14.9% | -18.4% | -23.4% |
| 2024-11-21 beat | 0.38 | 0.59 | +54.7% | +24.9% | +14.8% | +4.7% | -4.1% |
| 2024-08-29 beat | 0.25 | 0.35 | +38.1% | -23.6% | -26.5% | -6.7% | -1.5% |
| 2024-05-30 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +5.6% | +14.8% | +11.7% | +7.6% | +10.2% |
| 2024-02-29 beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +13.5% | -13.3% | -12.6% | -9.6% | -16.3% |
| 2023-11-30 beat | 0.24 | 0.37 | +51.3% | +22.2% | +37.1% | +5.1% | -4.1% |
| 2023-08-31 beat | 0.11 | 0.25 | +120.6% | +17.5% | +20.0% | +7.3% | +7.1% |
| 2023-06-01 beat | 0.10 | 0.22 | +125.7% | -3.6% | +0.9% | -2.2% | -10.5% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 0.05 | 0.17 | +219.6% | +8.3% | +9.5% | -17.0% | -11.3% |
| 2022-11-30 beat | -0.10 | — | +100.0% | -11.8% | -6.6% | -5.3% | -12.3% |
| 2022-08-25 beat | -0.17 | -0.15 | +13.4% | -5.3% | -2.4% | -1.5% | -15.6% |
| 2022-06-01 beat | -0.21 | -0.16 | +25.2% | +6.7% | +18.9% | +3.2% | +2.7% |
| 2022-03-03 beat | -0.20 | -0.12 | +39.1% | +4.8% | -1.4% | -9.6% | +20.6% |
| 2021-12-01 beat | -0.16 | -0.09 | +43.0% | -12.7% | -15.0% | +3.4% | +1.1% |
| 2021-08-25 beat | -0.12 | 0.04 | +132.1% | +0.1% | -3.0% | +6.9% | +6.8% |
| 2021-06-02 beat | -0.16 | -0.08 | +50.0% | +9.8% | +10.0% | +4.0% | +12.9% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | -0.15 | -0.04 | +73.2% | -6.0% | -16.0% | -6.5% | -15.7% |
| 2020-12-02 beat | -0.20 | -0.03 | +85.2% | +8.9% | +12.6% | +5.2% | +7.7% |
| 2020-08-26 beat | -0.18 | 0.06 | +133.4% | +4.0% | -1.6% | -8.3% | -2.2% |
| 2020-06-03 beat | -0.31 | -0.12 | +61.2% | -6.9% | -3.8% | -7.9% | +9.0% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | -0.35 | -0.28 | +19.7% | -1.2% | +12.7% | -0.1% | -25.5% |
| 2019-12-04 beat | -0.31 | -0.22 | +29.9% | -15.0% | -17.9% | -5.0% | +8.1% |
| 2019-08-28 beat | -0.42 | -0.32 | +22.9% | +9.8% | +10.8% | +0.0% | -7.2% |
| 2019-06-05 beat | -0.28 | -0.28 | +1.7% | +0.8% | -2.0% | -6.2% | -2.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.