EXLS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.4% | +1.6% | 7.4% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +0.8% | 4.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.2% | 1.5% | 30% |
| 5-day | +3.7% | +1.9% | 6.9% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +7.8% | +2.4% | +17.9% | -6.4% | +6.1% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.54 | 0.58 | +8.4% | +7.7% | +1.8% | -0.7% | -6.9% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +7.5% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +12.4% | +5.9% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +3.2% | -5.0% | -7.1% | +2.4% | +3.1% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +8.2% | +6.4% | +1.4% | -0.1% | +1.9% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +8.8% | -0.1% | +7.8% | -5.0% | -5.1% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +5.9% | -1.0% | -0.1% | -2.4% | -3.2% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +7.3% | +1.0% | +6.7% | +8.4% | +11.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +3.2% | -3.0% | -7.3% | +4.3% | +11.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +4.6% | -0.1% | +3.3% | +1.7% | -1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.