EXLS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.8% | +1.9% | 5.5% | 73% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +1.3% | 3.1% | 67% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.0% | 1.7% | 47% |
| 5-day | +3.2% | +4.0% | 7.3% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +7.8% | +2.4% | +17.9% | -6.4% | +6.1% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.54 | 0.58 | +8.4% | +7.7% | +1.8% | -0.7% | -6.9% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +7.5% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +12.4% | +5.9% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +3.2% | -5.0% | -7.1% | +2.4% | +3.1% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +8.2% | +6.4% | +1.4% | -0.1% | +1.9% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +8.8% | -0.1% | +7.8% | -5.0% | -5.1% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +5.9% | -1.0% | -0.1% | -2.4% | -3.2% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +7.3% | +1.0% | +6.7% | +8.4% | +11.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +3.2% | -3.0% | -7.3% | +4.3% | +11.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +4.6% | -0.1% | +3.3% | +1.7% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-29 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +4.0% | +1.4% | +4.2% | +4.1% | +0.8% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +8.3% | +4.4% | +4.0% | +0.8% | +7.2% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +8.4% | -3.2% | -11.6% | -4.5% | -0.3% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +8.1% | +1.0% | +4.9% | -3.6% | -10.6% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +5.6% | +0.6% | +1.1% | -4.1% | -10.9% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.28 | 0.31 | +8.9% | +2.1% | -0.5% | +4.8% | +9.9% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +13.4% | +0.9% | +10.1% | +4.3% | +4.3% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +9.6% | +2.9% | +0.2% | -3.5% | +0.3% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +5.1% | +5.9% | +2.7% | +4.6% | +16.5% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +22.5% | +3.9% | +5.2% | +4.8% | +2.8% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +12.5% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +6.2% | +10.7% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +18.5% | +1.5% | +1.8% | +3.8% | +7.8% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +7.1% | -1.1% | +2.9% | +3.5% | +13.5% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +3.1% | +0.2% | +1.9% | +8.0% | +11.8% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.06 | 0.11 | +68.8% | +2.2% | +1.8% | +1.9% | -6.5% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +7.3% | +2.0% | -5.2% | -7.5% | +12.9% |
| 2020-02-27 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +8.9% | +6.8% | +2.4% | +6.3% | -29.8% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +12.1% | +2.2% | +4.6% | -0.8% | +1.5% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +4.2% | -1.1% | +2.5% | -3.5% | -1.0% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +3.7% | -1.0% | -5.1% | +1.5% | +0.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.