EXPE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -1.2% | 11.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.9% | 3.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +0.9% | 3.3% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +3.4% | 14.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 5.25 | 5.76 | +9.7% | +1.7% | -4.1% | +7.1% | -2.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.38 | 1.96 | +42.3% | -8.0% | -9.0% | -5.3% | +0.5% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 3.37 | 3.78 | +12.2% | -6.7% | -6.4% | -11.4% | +13.4% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 6.95 | 7.57 | +9.0% | +12.4% | +17.5% | +2.5% | +1.2% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 4.13 | 4.24 | +2.6% | +12.8% | +4.1% | +6.2% | +11.5% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +11.5% | -9.7% | -7.3% | +6.4% | +11.1% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 2.10 | 2.39 | +13.9% | +12.8% | +17.3% | +0.0% | -19.1% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 6.12 | 6.13 | +0.2% | +4.0% | +3.8% | +0.3% | +4.2% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 3.16 | 3.51 | +10.9% | +10.2% | +10.2% | +0.8% | +0.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.17 | 0.21 | +223.9% | -10.1% | -15.3% | -2.2% | -0.7% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 1.70 | 1.72 | +1.4% | -18.1% | -17.8% | +3.2% | +4.2% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 5.00 | 5.41 | +8.2% | +13.9% | +18.8% | +5.3% | +22.8% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 2.36 | 2.89 | +22.2% | -9.9% | -16.4% | +13.2% | +11.0% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.03 | -0.20 | -697.9% | +5.8% | +4.9% | -4.4% | +19.7% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 1.69 | 1.26 | -25.3% | -5.4% | -8.6% | +1.2% | -12.6% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | 4.13 | 4.05 | -1.9% | +6.7% | +5.7% | +11.0% | +4.6% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 1.59 | 1.96 | +23.6% | +4.7% | +0.3% | +10.7% | -1.6% |
| 2022-05-02 miss | -0.46 | -0.47 | -1.4% | -3.7% | -14.0% | -12.0% | -10.7% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 0.65 | 1.06 | +63.0% | +5.8% | -2.7% | +8.9% | -1.9% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 1.76 | 3.53 | +100.2% | +13.8% | +15.6% | -1.8% | -8.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.