EXPE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +1.6% | 11.4% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.5% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.1% | 4.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +2.2% | 12.8% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 5.25 | 5.76 | +9.7% | +1.7% | -4.1% | +7.1% | -2.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.38 | 1.96 | +42.3% | -8.0% | -9.0% | -5.3% | +0.5% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 3.37 | 3.78 | +12.2% | -6.7% | -6.4% | -11.4% | +13.4% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 6.95 | 7.57 | +9.0% | +12.4% | +17.5% | +2.5% | +1.2% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 4.13 | 4.24 | +2.6% | +12.8% | +4.1% | +6.2% | +11.5% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +11.5% | -9.7% | -7.3% | +6.4% | +11.1% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 2.10 | 2.39 | +13.9% | +12.8% | +17.3% | +0.0% | -19.1% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 6.12 | 6.13 | +0.2% | +4.0% | +3.8% | +0.3% | +4.2% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 3.16 | 3.51 | +10.9% | +10.2% | +10.2% | +0.8% | +0.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.17 | 0.21 | +223.9% | -10.1% | -15.3% | -2.2% | -0.7% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 1.70 | 1.72 | +1.4% | -18.1% | -17.8% | +3.2% | +4.2% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 5.00 | 5.41 | +8.2% | +13.9% | +18.8% | +5.3% | +22.8% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 2.36 | 2.89 | +22.2% | -9.9% | -16.4% | +13.2% | +11.0% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.03 | -0.20 | -697.9% | +5.8% | +4.9% | -4.4% | +19.7% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 1.69 | 1.26 | -25.3% | -5.4% | -8.6% | +1.2% | -12.6% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | 4.13 | 4.05 | -1.9% | +6.7% | +5.7% | +11.0% | +4.6% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 1.59 | 1.96 | +23.6% | +4.7% | +0.3% | +10.7% | -1.6% |
| 2022-05-02 miss | -0.46 | -0.47 | -1.4% | -3.7% | -14.0% | -12.0% | -10.7% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 0.65 | 1.06 | +63.0% | +5.8% | -2.7% | +8.9% | -1.9% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 1.76 | 3.53 | +100.2% | +13.8% | +15.6% | -1.8% | -8.6% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | -0.60 | -1.13 | -86.9% | -7.5% | -7.9% | -0.2% | -0.9% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | -2.28 | -2.02 | +11.5% | +6.4% | +5.2% | -1.0% | -0.5% |
| 2021-02-11 miss | -1.91 | -2.64 | -38.0% | -1.0% | -2.3% | +9.6% | +20.4% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | -0.79 | -0.22 | +72.2% | +3.6% | +4.7% | +14.0% | +22.7% |
| 2020-07-30 miss | -3.32 | -4.09 | -23.3% | -4.8% | -4.6% | +1.9% | +21.2% |
| 2020-05-20 miss | -1.36 | -1.83 | -34.9% | +3.8% | -3.2% | +3.2% | +7.9% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 1.18 | 1.24 | +4.7% | +12.2% | +11.0% | -8.5% | -55.9% |
| 2019-11-06 miss | 3.81 | 3.38 | -11.2% | -14.9% | -27.4% | -2.8% | +10.7% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 1.67 | 1.77 | +5.7% | +2.0% | +0.9% | -7.4% | -7.8% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | -0.36 | -0.27 | +25.4% | -3.0% | -0.9% | -6.6% | -5.5% |
| 2019-02-07 beat | 1.06 | 1.24 | +17.0% | +5.6% | +2.3% | -2.8% | -7.8% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 3.12 | 3.65 | +16.9% | +4.3% | +2.5% | +5.0% | -2.5% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 0.90 | 1.38 | +54.0% | +9.8% | +9.5% | -4.1% | -4.3% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | -0.49 | -0.46 | +5.5% | +9.5% | +8.2% | -4.3% | +1.9% |
| 2018-02-08 miss | 1.15 | 0.84 | -26.7% | -14.7% | -15.5% | -0.1% | +5.3% |
| 2017-10-26 miss | 2.61 | 2.51 | -4.0% | -16.5% | -16.0% | -0.6% | +1.5% |
| 2017-07-27 miss | 0.94 | 0.89 | -4.8% | +0.1% | +3.4% | -5.1% | -10.6% |
| 2017-04-27 miss | 0.09 | 0.05 | -46.1% | -1.7% | -1.8% | +5.0% | +7.8% |
| 2017-02-09 miss | 1.36 | 1.17 | -13.9% | +1.4% | -0.5% | -2.6% | +4.1% |
| 2016-10-27 miss | 2.47 | 2.41 | -2.5% | +1.9% | +4.1% | -4.9% | -5.0% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.76 | 0.83 | +8.9% | -4.6% | -2.2% | -2.9% | -5.9% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | -0.05 | 0.09 | +268.8% | +9.2% | +8.2% | -2.3% | -3.9% |
| 2016-02-10 miss | 1.01 | 0.77 | -23.4% | +6.1% | +9.6% | +5.1% | +12.6% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 2.06 | 2.07 | +0.6% | +7.2% | +7.3% | -2.2% | -8.3% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.7% | +8.1% | +12.9% | -0.3% | -5.3% |
| 2015-04-30 miss | 0.09 | -0.03 | -132.6% | +6.2% | +7.9% | +1.1% | +5.8% |
| 2015-02-05 miss | 1.01 | 0.86 | -15.1% | -10.0% | -11.5% | +14.9% | +14.7% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 1.74 | 1.93 | +11.1% | +4.4% | +5.3% | +0.2% | +3.0% |
| 2014-07-31 beat | 0.75 | 1.03 | +36.7% | +3.5% | +6.3% | -2.3% | +4.5% |
| 2014-05-01 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +5.7% | -2.7% | -3.7% | -3.5% | +2.9% |
| 2014-02-06 beat | 0.86 | 0.92 | +7.2% | +13.6% | +14.3% | +3.6% | +0.4% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 1.35 | 1.43 | +5.6% | +17.3% | +18.0% | -0.1% | +6.2% |
| 2013-07-25 miss | 0.81 | 0.64 | -20.7% | -23.1% | -27.4% | +2.1% | +0.0% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 0.22 | 0.25 | +12.1% | -5.3% | -9.9% | +0.8% | +0.7% |
| 2013-02-05 miss | 0.65 | 0.63 | -3.5% | -1.6% | -2.7% | -0.4% | -1.5% |
| 2012-10-25 beat | 1.26 | 1.32 | +4.4% | +15.0% | +15.2% | +2.5% | +4.3% |
| 2012-07-26 beat | 0.71 | 0.89 | +25.3% | +17.4% | +20.1% | +4.6% | -5.0% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | 0.16 | 0.26 | +63.5% | +20.1% | +23.5% | +1.7% | +12.4% |
| 2012-02-09 beat | 0.58 | 0.58 | +0.5% | -6.6% | -1.8% | -1.4% | -3.0% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | 1.46 | 1.54 | +5.6% | -3.5% | -6.2% | +4.0% | +0.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.