EXPE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | -0.1% | 11.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.4% | 3.7% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 2.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +3.4% | 13.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 5.25 | 5.76 | +9.7% | +1.7% | -4.1% | +7.1% | -2.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.38 | 1.96 | +42.3% | -8.0% | -9.0% | -5.3% | +0.5% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 3.37 | 3.78 | +12.2% | -6.7% | -6.4% | -11.4% | +13.4% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 6.95 | 7.57 | +9.0% | +12.4% | +17.5% | +2.5% | +1.2% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 4.13 | 4.24 | +2.6% | +12.8% | +4.1% | +6.2% | +11.5% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +11.5% | -9.7% | -7.3% | +6.4% | +11.1% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 2.10 | 2.39 | +13.9% | +12.8% | +17.3% | +0.0% | -19.1% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 6.12 | 6.13 | +0.2% | +4.0% | +3.8% | +0.3% | +4.2% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 3.16 | 3.51 | +10.9% | +10.2% | +10.2% | +0.8% | +0.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.17 | 0.21 | +223.9% | -10.1% | -15.3% | -2.2% | -0.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.