EXPO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 8.2% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 1.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 1.4% | 45% |
| 5-day | -2.4% | -1.9% | 8.0% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.4% | +1.6% | +3.5% | -0.1% | +6.2% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 0.61 | 0.59 | -3.2% | +0.5% | -2.4% | -5.9% | -10.6% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +3.5% | +2.6% | +12.7% | -16.3% | -12.0% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +3.7% | +1.3% | +6.0% | -0.3% | +3.4% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.52 | 0.52 | +0.8% | -1.6% | -0.9% | +3.4% | +5.3% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.52 | 0.52 | -0.3% | -4.9% | -1.3% | -0.1% | +1.9% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +7.9% | +5.8% | +1.2% | -2.5% | -8.6% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -0.9% | +1.1% | -8.9% | -1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.53 | 0.57 | +7.3% | +1.8% | -0.6% | -1.7% | +0.8% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.50 | 0.59 | +18.2% | +19.2% | +19.5% | -0.9% | -0.5% |
| 2024-02-01 miss | 0.46 | 0.41 | -11.5% | -19.6% | -12.8% | -0.8% | +0.6% |
| 2023-10-26 miss | 0.51 | 0.48 | -5.7% | -3.8% | -14.4% | +3.1% | +5.1% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 0.51 | 0.50 | -1.8% | -1.9% | -4.9% | -1.0% | +1.2% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +1.8% | -3.3% | -4.4% | -3.0% | +0.0% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +11.4% | +1.8% | +5.5% | -5.2% | -7.2% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +13.2% | +3.6% | +3.6% | +3.8% | +6.6% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +10.1% | +0.0% | +2.2% | -1.6% | -4.7% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +8.7% | -2.4% | -7.8% | -6.9% | -5.7% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +7.0% | -3.1% | -8.7% | +1.6% | +12.6% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.39 | 0.46 | +17.9% | +0.6% | -0.4% | +3.0% | +1.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.