EXPO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.6% | 6.3% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 1.9% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 1.5% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | -0.1% | 7.4% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.4% | +1.6% | +3.5% | -0.1% | +6.2% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 0.61 | 0.59 | -3.2% | +0.5% | -2.4% | -5.9% | -10.6% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +3.5% | +2.6% | +12.7% | -16.3% | -12.0% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +3.7% | +1.3% | +6.0% | -0.3% | +3.4% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.52 | 0.52 | +0.8% | -1.6% | -0.9% | +3.4% | +5.3% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.52 | 0.52 | -0.3% | -4.9% | -1.3% | -0.1% | +1.9% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +7.9% | +5.8% | +1.2% | -2.5% | -8.6% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -0.9% | +1.1% | -8.9% | -1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.53 | 0.57 | +7.3% | +1.8% | -0.6% | -1.7% | +0.8% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.50 | 0.59 | +18.2% | +19.2% | +19.5% | -0.9% | -0.5% |
| 2024-02-01 miss | 0.46 | 0.41 | -11.5% | -19.6% | -12.8% | -0.8% | +0.6% |
| 2023-10-26 miss | 0.51 | 0.48 | -5.7% | -3.8% | -14.4% | +3.1% | +5.1% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 0.51 | 0.50 | -1.8% | -1.9% | -4.9% | -1.0% | +1.2% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +1.8% | -3.3% | -4.4% | -3.0% | +0.0% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +11.4% | +1.8% | +5.5% | -5.2% | -7.2% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +13.2% | +3.6% | +3.6% | +3.8% | +6.6% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +10.1% | +0.0% | +2.2% | -1.6% | -4.7% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +8.7% | -2.4% | -7.8% | -6.9% | -5.7% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +7.0% | -3.1% | -8.7% | +1.6% | +12.6% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.39 | 0.46 | +17.9% | +0.6% | -0.4% | +3.0% | +1.5% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.42 | 0.48 | +14.3% | -0.1% | +6.9% | +7.4% | +9.2% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.45 | 0.58 | +28.9% | -0.4% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -5.9% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 0.28 | 0.41 | +45.1% | +2.5% | +2.1% | +5.0% | +7.3% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +7.6% | +1.6% | -2.8% | +7.2% | +19.2% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.26 | 0.31 | +21.1% | -1.0% | +0.7% | -1.9% | -4.3% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.42 | 0.49 | +16.1% | -2.5% | -4.7% | -1.6% | +12.2% |
| 2020-02-06 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +10.4% | +6.4% | +6.0% | +2.3% | +1.0% |
| 2019-10-17 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +5.9% | -5.9% | -7.3% | -3.9% | -4.9% |
| 2019-07-18 beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +17.5% | +4.9% | +8.1% | +2.8% | +6.3% |
| 2019-04-18 beat | 0.36 | 0.42 | +18.0% | +2.6% | -1.4% | +1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2019-01-31 beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +4.2% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +3.0% | +12.5% |
| 2018-10-18 beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +9.6% | -4.9% | +3.2% | +0.5% | +6.7% |
| 2018-07-19 beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +11.5% | +0.3% | -3.2% | +0.8% | +4.5% |
| 2018-04-19 beat | 0.31 | 0.38 | +20.5% | +0.4% | +1.5% | +1.2% | +9.7% |
| 2018-02-01 beat | 0.21 | 0.24 | +11.9% | -2.4% | +1.8% | -5.8% | +0.9% |
| 2017-10-18 beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +21.4% | +2.5% | -3.0% | +1.9% | +2.0% |
| 2017-07-18 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +24.4% | +12.5% | +13.2% | -1.3% | -3.0% |
| 2017-04-19 beat | 0.24 | 0.31 | +27.1% | +2.7% | +1.1% | +1.3% | -1.4% |
| 2017-02-01 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +14.0% | -1.5% | -0.6% | +2.5% | +2.8% |
| 2016-10-19 beat | 0.17 | 0.21 | +24.3% | +3.8% | +8.8% | +3.3% | +11.8% |
| 2016-07-19 miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -10.6% | -22.4% | -11.1% | -0.2% | -2.9% |
| 2016-04-20 beat | 0.18 | 0.28 | +58.5% | +0.0% | -0.9% | -2.3% | +0.5% |
| 2016-02-03 beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +13.7% | +0.8% | +3.1% | -6.6% | -3.9% |
| 2015-10-21 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +4.9% | +1.7% | +8.6% | -2.4% | -2.5% |
| 2015-07-21 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +2.4% | -4.9% | +0.2% | -2.1% | -5.4% |
| 2015-04-22 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +6.4% | +8.0% | +6.9% | -7.0% | -9.5% |
| 2015-02-04 beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +17.2% | -0.5% | +8.5% | -1.8% | -3.4% |
| 2014-10-22 beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +13.5% | +2.9% | +1.0% | +5.9% | +3.4% |
| 2014-07-22 beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +12.9% | +0.1% | +5.0% | -4.3% | -4.4% |
| 2014-04-23 beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +15.3% | +1.2% | -2.4% | -2.2% | -2.1% |
| 2014-02-05 beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +12.0% | +1.6% | +2.3% | +2.6% | +8.0% |
| 2013-10-16 beat | 0.15 | 0.20 | +30.0% | +0.2% | +3.5% | +7.0% | +0.4% |
| 2013-07-23 beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +20.3% | +2.4% | -0.5% | +3.5% | +3.6% |
| 2013-04-17 beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +26.6% | +0.6% | +2.6% | +1.2% | +6.1% |
| 2013-01-30 miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -6.7% | -1.1% | -10.9% | -0.2% | +4.8% |
| 2012-10-17 beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +10.8% | +1.1% | -1.0% | -4.7% | -9.4% |
| 2012-07-18 beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +20.0% | +1.7% | +3.0% | -4.0% | -4.0% |
| 2012-04-18 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +10.7% | +0.4% | -1.6% | -0.2% | -0.3% |
| 2012-02-01 beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +24.2% | -9.0% | -0.3% | -4.2% | -6.9% |
| 2011-10-19 beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +18.1% | +0.4% | +5.5% | +11.0% | +4.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.