FCEL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +5.3% | +3.0% | 14.4% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +3.7% | +4.6% | 9.4% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +1.4% | 7.1% | 60% |
| 5-day | +5.9% | +1.6% | 21.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | -0.39 | — | — | -10.4% | -15.7% | +8.3% | — |
| 2026-06-08 miss | -0.43 | -0.53 | -21.8% | +0.8% | -10.6% | +12.9% | +48.4% |
| 2026-03-09 beat | -0.68 | -0.52 | +23.1% | -8.9% | -2.9% | -6.4% | -13.1% |
| 2025-12-18 beat | -1.03 | -0.93 | +9.7% | +17.6% | +22.0% | -12.0% | -3.0% |
| 2025-09-09 beat | -1.63 | -1.02 | +37.5% | +0.7% | +22.7% | +31.1% | +97.5% |
| 2025-06-06 miss | -1.38 | -1.75 | -26.4% | +5.0% | +24.4% | -6.8% | -13.4% |
| 2025-03-11 miss | -1.35 | -1.44 | -6.2% | -5.2% | +3.6% | -15.1% | -38.4% |
| 2024-12-19 miss | -1.60 | -1.99 | -24.2% | -0.2% | -5.0% | +7.6% | -6.9% |
| 2024-09-05 beat | -2.27 | -1.94 | +14.3% | +2.4% | +2.4% | +7.1% | -16.7% |
| 2024-06-10 beat | -2.12 | -2.10 | +0.9% | -1.1% | +12.6% | -18.4% | -33.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.