FCEL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.2% | -4.0% | 13.3% | 37% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 8.9% | 48% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -0.2% | 6.0% | 40% |
| 5-day | -5.3% | -7.2% | 16.8% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | -0.39 | — | — | -10.4% | -15.7% | +8.3% | — |
| 2026-06-08 miss | -0.43 | -0.53 | -21.8% | +0.8% | -10.6% | +12.9% | +48.4% |
| 2026-03-09 beat | -0.68 | -0.52 | +23.1% | -8.9% | -2.9% | -6.4% | -13.1% |
| 2025-12-18 beat | -1.03 | -0.93 | +9.7% | +17.6% | +22.0% | -12.0% | -3.0% |
| 2025-09-09 beat | -1.63 | -1.02 | +37.5% | +0.7% | +22.7% | +31.1% | +97.5% |
| 2025-06-06 miss | -1.38 | -1.75 | -26.4% | +5.0% | +24.4% | -6.8% | -13.4% |
| 2025-03-11 miss | -1.35 | -1.44 | -6.2% | -5.2% | +3.6% | -15.1% | -38.4% |
| 2024-12-19 miss | -1.60 | -1.99 | -24.2% | -0.2% | -5.0% | +7.6% | -6.9% |
| 2024-09-05 beat | -2.27 | -1.94 | +14.3% | +2.4% | +2.4% | +7.1% | -16.7% |
| 2024-06-10 beat | -2.12 | -2.10 | +0.9% | -1.1% | +12.6% | -18.4% | -33.7% |
| 2024-03-07 beat | -2.15 | -1.25 | +42.2% | -1.6% | -9.0% | -9.9% | +3.6% |
| 2023-12-19 beat | -2.51 | -2.35 | +6.4% | -5.9% | -4.6% | +21.9% | -17.8% |
| 2023-09-11 miss | -2.27 | -2.81 | -23.5% | -1.4% | -3.5% | -15.8% | -2.9% |
| 2023-06-08 miss | -2.21 | -2.70 | -21.9% | -3.4% | -2.9% | +16.9% | -3.9% |
| 2023-03-09 beat | -2.11 | -1.50 | +29.1% | +8.5% | +1.8% | -8.0% | -28.9% |
| 2022-12-20 miss | -1.96 | -3.30 | -68.4% | -4.9% | -18.7% | -3.8% | +39.6% |
| 2022-09-08 miss | -1.85 | -2.40 | -29.5% | -4.0% | -4.5% | +11.5% | -18.4% |
| 2022-06-09 miss | -1.56 | -2.36 | -51.3% | -10.1% | -6.6% | -14.5% | +3.7% |
| 2022-03-10 miss | -1.42 | -1.42 | -0.4% | -0.9% | +9.8% | -7.8% | -22.3% |
| 2021-12-29 miss | -1.16 | -1.63 | -41.3% | -12.6% | -12.9% | +4.1% | -28.0% |
| 2021-09-14 beat | -1.60 | -1.20 | +25.0% | +10.3% | +14.6% | -6.8% | +12.6% |
| 2021-06-10 miss | -1.40 | -1.80 | -28.4% | -11.4% | -10.7% | -10.2% | -20.3% |
| 2021-03-16 miss | -1.35 | -1.80 | -33.6% | -13.1% | -9.5% | -9.6% | -37.4% |
| 2021-01-21 miss | -1.95 | -2.56 | -31.3% | -5.5% | +3.2% | +27.1% | +3.4% |
| 2020-09-10 miss | -1.90 | -2.23 | -17.6% | -4.9% | -17.5% | +13.4% | +20.7% |
| 2020-06-12 beat | -2.00 | -1.73 | +13.3% | +22.4% | +7.1% | -19.4% | +5.5% |
| 2020-03-16 beat | -2.50 | -1.34 | +46.4% | -12.2% | +0.9% | +10.3% | +32.8% |
| 2020-01-22 miss | -3.30 | -3.59 | -8.8% | -25.0% | -22.9% | -22.1% | +13.5% |
| 2019-09-09 beat | -31.65 | -5.40 | +82.9% | +25.0% | +60.0% | -37.5% | -48.4% |
| 2019-06-17 miss | -55.20 | -61.80 | -12.0% | -9.1% | -6.1% | -48.4% | -3.2% |
| 2019-03-07 miss | -63.36 | -118.80 | -87.5% | -10.4% | -10.4% | -14.0% | -27.9% |
| 2019-01-10 miss | -67.20 | -68.40 | -1.8% | +7.1% | -1.8% | -1.8% | -20.0% |
| 2018-09-06 miss | -67.50 | -72.00 | -6.7% | -6.7% | -4.2% | -5.2% | -9.6% |
| 2018-06-07 miss | -54.90 | -82.80 | -50.8% | -3.6% | -9.4% | +1.7% | -19.5% |
| 2018-03-08 beat | -60.00 | -57.21 | +4.7% | +4.7% | +5.3% | -5.0% | +3.3% |
| 2018-01-11 beat | -71.10 | -61.20 | +13.9% | +13.5% | +8.6% | -4.5% | -11.9% |
| 2017-09-07 miss | -82.80 | -111.60 | -34.8% | -1.3% | +1.3% | +0.7% | +48.7% |
| 2017-06-08 miss | -97.20 | -118.62 | -22.0% | -2.8% | -3.7% | +7.7% | +26.0% |
| 2017-03-09 miss | -114.00 | -125.75 | -10.3% | +0.0% | -6.7% | -1.4% | +14.3% |
| 2017-01-12 miss | -126.00 | -147.60 | -17.1% | +0.0% | -2.6% | -10.5% | -13.2% |
| 2016-09-07 beat | -139.20 | -136.80 | +1.7% | -5.1% | +0.6% | -4.3% | -1.5% |
| 2016-06-08 miss | -142.56 | -201.60 | -41.4% | -7.1% | -16.6% | -13.1% | -9.6% |
| 2016-03-09 miss | -127.54 | -172.80 | -35.5% | -9.8% | -12.2% | +24.3% | +8.1% |
| 2015-12-14 miss | -99.00 | -136.80 | -38.2% | +0.5% | -13.2% | -0.9% | -11.0% |
| 2015-09-08 beat | -100.80 | -86.40 | +14.3% | +1.1% | +3.3% | +0.0% | -1.1% |
| 2015-06-08 miss | -100.80 | -172.80 | -71.4% | -9.1% | -5.0% | -8.7% | -21.7% |
| 2015-03-10 beat | -100.80 | -86.40 | +14.3% | +2.3% | +2.3% | -5.3% | -2.3% |
| 2014-12-15 | -86.40 | -86.40 | — | +3.9% | +3.2% | +0.0% | -28.3% |
| 2014-09-08 miss | -118.80 | -129.60 | -9.1% | -10.9% | -9.4% | -5.4% | -23.1% |
| 2014-06-03 miss | -140.40 | -172.80 | -23.1% | -14.3% | -7.6% | -2.3% | +5.5% |
| 2014-03-10 miss | -162.00 | -172.80 | -6.7% | +18.6% | -16.5% | -16.2% | -24.4% |
| 2013-12-16 miss | -144.00 | -216.00 | -50.0% | -12.9% | -24.2% | -5.0% | -0.7% |
| 2013-09-04 | -129.60 | -129.60 | — | +13.8% | +10.6% | -4.4% | -8.8% |
| 2013-06-05 beat | -194.40 | -172.80 | +11.1% | +10.2% | -0.7% | -2.7% | -5.5% |
| 2013-03-11 miss | -162.00 | -302.40 | -86.7% | -4.8% | -5.8% | +1.0% | -8.2% |
| 2012-12-20 miss | -207.36 | -216.00 | -4.2% | +0.0% | -3.0% | -6.1% | +17.3% |
| 2012-09-05 miss | -190.08 | -259.20 | -36.4% | -9.0% | -11.0% | +2.2% | +2.2% |
| 2012-06-05 miss | -201.60 | -259.20 | -28.6% | -12.9% | -14.5% | -3.8% | -1.9% |
| 2012-03-12 beat | -276.48 | -216.00 | +21.9% | +6.7% | +7.3% | +8.7% | -21.7% |
| 2011-12-12 beat | -309.60 | -259.20 | +16.3% | -3.7% | -15.6% | +0.0% | +6.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.