FDS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | -0.5% | 5.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.5% | 2.1% | 65% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.4% | 1.5% | 65% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +2.2% | 6.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 beat | 4.45 | 4.53 | +1.8% | -3.5% | +6.7% | -1.5% | +7.2% |
| 2026-03-31 beat | 4.38 | 4.46 | +1.9% | +5.5% | +6.1% | +2.8% | +4.9% |
| 2025-12-18 beat | 4.36 | 4.51 | +3.5% | +2.2% | -7.7% | +6.9% | +3.9% |
| 2025-09-18 miss | 4.13 | 4.05 | -1.9% | +0.7% | -10.4% | -5.8% | -4.8% |
| 2025-06-23 miss | 4.30 | 4.27 | -0.6% | +3.7% | +3.5% | +2.3% | -4.8% |
| 2025-03-20 beat | 4.18 | 4.28 | +2.4% | -0.6% | -1.7% | +4.2% | -4.2% |
| 2024-12-19 beat | 4.28 | 4.37 | +2.2% | -2.9% | +3.5% | -0.6% | -5.2% |
| 2024-09-19 beat | 3.62 | 3.74 | +3.3% | +4.0% | +5.1% | -2.9% | +0.4% |
| 2024-06-21 beat | 3.90 | 4.37 | +12.0% | +3.0% | +3.8% | -3.6% | -1.8% |
| 2024-03-21 beat | 3.88 | 4.22 | +8.7% | -2.8% | -7.6% | +0.8% | -2.7% |
| 2023-12-19 beat | 4.11 | 4.12 | +0.2% | -2.9% | -2.1% | +5.7% | +4.3% |
| 2023-09-21 miss | 3.49 | 2.93 | -16.1% | -0.4% | +0.7% | +3.5% | +0.8% |
| 2023-06-22 beat | 3.60 | 3.79 | +5.2% | -1.3% | -4.5% | -2.1% | +8.1% |
| 2023-03-23 beat | 3.67 | 3.80 | +3.5% | -6.2% | -5.5% | +4.6% | +7.5% |
| 2022-12-20 beat | 3.63 | 3.99 | +10.1% | -0.5% | -5.4% | -0.7% | +6.8% |
| 2022-09-22 miss | 3.21 | 3.13 | -2.5% | -4.1% | -8.3% | +0.5% | +3.1% |
| 2022-06-23 beat | 3.22 | 3.76 | +16.9% | +1.6% | +8.0% | -1.1% | +4.5% |
| 2022-03-24 beat | 2.97 | 3.27 | +9.9% | +1.3% | -1.8% | +3.5% | +2.3% |
| 2021-12-21 beat | 3.00 | 3.25 | +8.5% | -1.5% | +0.8% | +3.0% | -11.5% |
| 2021-09-28 beat | 2.73 | 2.88 | +5.6% | +3.4% | +3.8% | +3.5% | +12.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.