FDS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +3.5% | 6.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 2.6% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.7% | 1.0% | 70% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +2.2% | 7.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 beat | 4.45 | 4.53 | +1.8% | -3.5% | +6.7% | -1.5% | +7.2% |
| 2026-03-31 beat | 4.38 | 4.46 | +1.9% | +5.5% | +6.1% | +2.8% | +4.9% |
| 2025-12-18 beat | 4.36 | 4.51 | +3.5% | +2.2% | -7.7% | +6.9% | +3.9% |
| 2025-09-18 miss | 4.13 | 4.05 | -1.9% | +0.7% | -10.4% | -5.8% | -4.8% |
| 2025-06-23 miss | 4.30 | 4.27 | -0.6% | +3.7% | +3.5% | +2.3% | -4.8% |
| 2025-03-20 beat | 4.18 | 4.28 | +2.4% | -0.6% | -1.7% | +4.2% | -4.2% |
| 2024-12-19 beat | 4.28 | 4.37 | +2.2% | -2.9% | +3.5% | -0.6% | -5.2% |
| 2024-09-19 beat | 3.62 | 3.74 | +3.3% | +4.0% | +5.1% | -2.9% | +0.4% |
| 2024-06-21 beat | 3.90 | 4.37 | +12.0% | +3.0% | +3.8% | -3.6% | -1.8% |
| 2024-03-21 beat | 3.88 | 4.22 | +8.7% | -2.8% | -7.6% | +0.8% | -2.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.