FDS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | -1.9% | 5.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 2.0% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.6% | 52% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | -1.0% | 6.4% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 beat | 4.45 | 4.53 | +1.8% | -3.5% | +6.7% | -1.5% | +7.2% |
| 2026-03-31 beat | 4.38 | 4.46 | +1.9% | +5.5% | +6.1% | +2.8% | +4.9% |
| 2025-12-18 beat | 4.36 | 4.51 | +3.5% | +2.2% | -7.7% | +6.9% | +3.9% |
| 2025-09-18 miss | 4.13 | 4.05 | -1.9% | +0.7% | -10.4% | -5.8% | -4.8% |
| 2025-06-23 miss | 4.30 | 4.27 | -0.6% | +3.7% | +3.5% | +2.3% | -4.8% |
| 2025-03-20 beat | 4.18 | 4.28 | +2.4% | -0.6% | -1.7% | +4.2% | -4.2% |
| 2024-12-19 beat | 4.28 | 4.37 | +2.2% | -2.9% | +3.5% | -0.6% | -5.2% |
| 2024-09-19 beat | 3.62 | 3.74 | +3.3% | +4.0% | +5.1% | -2.9% | +0.4% |
| 2024-06-21 beat | 3.90 | 4.37 | +12.0% | +3.0% | +3.8% | -3.6% | -1.8% |
| 2024-03-21 beat | 3.88 | 4.22 | +8.7% | -2.8% | -7.6% | +0.8% | -2.7% |
| 2023-12-19 beat | 4.11 | 4.12 | +0.2% | -2.9% | -2.1% | +5.7% | +4.3% |
| 2023-09-21 miss | 3.49 | 2.93 | -16.1% | -0.4% | +0.7% | +3.5% | +0.8% |
| 2023-06-22 beat | 3.60 | 3.79 | +5.2% | -1.3% | -4.5% | -2.1% | +8.1% |
| 2023-03-23 beat | 3.67 | 3.80 | +3.5% | -6.2% | -5.5% | +4.6% | +7.5% |
| 2022-12-20 beat | 3.63 | 3.99 | +10.1% | -0.5% | -5.4% | -0.7% | +6.8% |
| 2022-09-22 miss | 3.21 | 3.13 | -2.5% | -4.1% | -8.3% | +0.5% | +3.1% |
| 2022-06-23 beat | 3.22 | 3.76 | +16.9% | +1.6% | +8.0% | -1.1% | +4.5% |
| 2022-03-24 beat | 2.97 | 3.27 | +9.9% | +1.3% | -1.8% | +3.5% | +2.3% |
| 2021-12-21 beat | 3.00 | 3.25 | +8.5% | -1.5% | +0.8% | +3.0% | -11.5% |
| 2021-09-28 beat | 2.73 | 2.88 | +5.6% | +3.4% | +3.8% | +3.5% | +12.7% |
| 2021-06-29 miss | 2.75 | 2.72 | -1.1% | -1.6% | -0.3% | +1.0% | +3.9% |
| 2021-03-30 miss | 2.73 | 2.72 | -0.3% | -2.9% | -3.9% | -0.6% | +9.6% |
| 2020-12-21 beat | 2.74 | 2.88 | +5.0% | -1.1% | -4.1% | -1.6% | -3.7% |
| 2020-09-24 beat | 2.53 | 2.88 | +14.0% | +4.3% | +1.1% | -1.9% | -1.8% |
| 2020-06-25 beat | 2.44 | 2.86 | +17.4% | +7.4% | +15.1% | -1.8% | +2.1% |
| 2020-03-26 beat | 2.49 | 2.55 | +2.6% | +1.0% | +10.7% | +1.8% | +11.1% |
| 2019-12-19 beat | 2.42 | 2.58 | +6.7% | -1.8% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +3.5% |
| 2019-09-26 beat | 2.46 | 2.61 | +6.1% | -7.8% | -9.3% | -3.1% | +3.4% |
| 2019-06-25 beat | 2.37 | 2.62 | +10.4% | +1.6% | -2.8% | +2.7% | -2.6% |
| 2019-03-26 beat | 2.34 | 2.42 | +3.4% | +1.0% | +5.5% | +1.5% | +8.4% |
| 2018-12-18 beat | 2.29 | 2.35 | +2.5% | +1.3% | -4.2% | -5.2% | +2.9% |
| 2018-09-25 miss | 2.21 | 2.20 | -0.4% | -5.5% | -1.9% | -1.2% | -5.3% |
| 2018-06-26 beat | 2.13 | 2.18 | +2.2% | -1.9% | -5.2% | +1.1% | +4.0% |
| 2018-03-27 beat | 2.06 | 2.12 | +2.9% | -3.1% | -3.9% | -2.9% | -3.8% |
| 2017-12-19 beat | 1.98 | 2.04 | +3.2% | -9.1% | -8.4% | +2.9% | +6.4% |
| 2017-09-26 beat | 1.89 | 1.90 | +0.3% | +3.0% | +5.3% | +1.8% | +4.6% |
| 2017-06-27 beat | 1.84 | 1.85 | +0.8% | -1.2% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -0.5% |
| 2017-03-28 beat | 1.80 | 1.81 | +0.7% | -3.9% | -5.7% | -1.3% | -0.4% |
| 2016-12-20 beat | 1.70 | 1.75 | +2.8% | -0.8% | -2.4% | +0.9% | +6.2% |
| 2016-09-27 miss | 1.70 | 1.69 | -0.4% | -4.6% | -6.7% | -3.9% | -5.9% |
| 2016-06-28 beat | 1.63 | 1.64 | +0.6% | +1.9% | +1.2% | +4.5% | +13.2% |
| 2016-03-15 beat | 1.71 | 1.75 | +2.5% | -1.6% | -5.3% | +3.3% | +4.4% |
| 2015-12-15 miss | 1.63 | 1.59 | -2.1% | -2.6% | -4.0% | -2.6% | -9.7% |
| 2015-09-22 miss | 1.61 | 1.48 | -8.0% | +0.6% | -2.0% | -4.1% | +3.4% |
| 2015-06-16 beat | 1.56 | 1.56 | +0.2% | +0.9% | -2.3% | +2.7% | +2.9% |
| 2015-03-17 miss | 1.56 | 1.52 | -2.4% | -0.2% | +3.1% | -1.0% | -0.4% |
| 2014-12-16 miss | 1.46 | 1.44 | -1.2% | +2.8% | +0.5% | +6.3% | +3.2% |
| 2014-09-16 beat | 1.42 | 1.43 | +1.0% | -0.4% | +0.5% | -3.5% | -5.1% |
| 2014-06-17 miss | 1.37 | 1.35 | -1.1% | -0.5% | +3.5% | +0.0% | +1.8% |
| 2014-03-18 miss | 1.35 | 1.34 | -0.7% | +6.5% | +9.7% | -4.8% | -7.9% |
| 2013-12-17 miss | 1.35 | 1.33 | -1.7% | -4.3% | -6.4% | -0.3% | -2.5% |
| 2013-09-17 beat | 1.28 | 1.31 | +2.5% | -2.2% | -1.7% | -1.2% | -1.1% |
| 2013-06-18 | 1.26 | 1.26 | — | -6.5% | -4.5% | -0.2% | +8.5% |
| 2013-03-19 beat | 1.24 | 1.25 | +1.2% | -3.1% | -5.3% | -1.1% | -3.7% |
| 2012-12-18 beat | 1.17 | 1.22 | +4.1% | -6.5% | -4.4% | -5.1% | -0.9% |
| 2012-09-25 beat | 1.12 | 1.18 | +5.6% | -2.7% | -4.2% | -4.9% | -6.7% |
| 2012-06-12 beat | 1.07 | 1.15 | +7.3% | -8.5% | -12.3% | +3.1% | -3.4% |
| 2012-03-13 beat | 1.00 | 1.02 | +2.0% | +0.8% | +8.6% | +0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2011-12-13 miss | 1.00 | 0.99 | -0.6% | -0.8% | -6.9% | +0.6% | -1.1% |
| 2011-09-20 beat | 0.95 | 0.96 | +1.5% | +5.1% | +2.3% | +2.8% | +2.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.