FFIN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.1% | 3.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.6% | 2.1% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 1.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +0.6% | 6.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -0.8% | -0.6% | -3.2% | -1.8% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-16 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +5.8% | +4.2% | +4.9% | -1.6% | -2.2% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +5.8% | -0.9% | -2.8% | -2.8% | -1.6% |
| 2025-10-23 miss | 0.47 | 0.36 | -23.4% | -1.9% | -2.3% | -0.7% | -0.5% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +6.2% | +5.1% | +1.4% | -2.3% | -4.5% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +0.6% | -2.4% | -1.3% | +3.8% | +10.8% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +7.5% | -0.1% | +3.4% | -1.4% | -1.5% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.5% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -5.9% | +7.4% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.2% | +3.4% | +2.5% | +10.6% | +0.7% |
| 2024-04-18 miss | 0.35 | 0.28 | -19.1% | -0.8% | +4.2% | +1.2% | +4.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.