FFIN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +1.0% | 3.5% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +1.2% | 2.3% | 73% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 1.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +2.6% | 5.4% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -0.8% | -0.6% | -3.2% | -1.8% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-16 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +5.8% | +4.2% | +4.9% | -1.6% | -2.2% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +5.8% | -0.9% | -2.8% | -2.8% | -1.6% |
| 2025-10-23 miss | 0.47 | 0.36 | -23.4% | -1.9% | -2.3% | -0.7% | -0.5% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +6.2% | +5.1% | +1.4% | -2.3% | -4.5% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +0.6% | -2.4% | -1.3% | +3.8% | +10.8% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +7.5% | -0.1% | +3.4% | -1.4% | -1.5% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.5% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -5.9% | +7.4% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.2% | +3.4% | +2.5% | +10.6% | +0.7% |
| 2024-04-18 miss | 0.35 | 0.28 | -19.1% | -0.8% | +4.2% | +1.2% | +4.8% |
| 2024-01-25 miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -5.3% | +1.9% | +6.8% | -2.4% | -4.4% |
| 2023-10-19 miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -3.3% | -0.7% | -5.7% | +2.3% | +17.9% |
| 2023-07-20 miss | 0.36 | 0.36 | -1.1% | +2.5% | -0.6% | +7.1% | -4.1% |
| 2023-04-20 miss | 0.39 | 0.37 | -3.9% | -6.2% | -3.8% | +2.2% | -3.1% |
| 2023-01-19 | 0.41 | 0.41 | — | +2.5% | +2.0% | +1.6% | +8.7% |
| 2022-10-20 miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.8% | -0.2% | -9.1% | -2.6% | -6.7% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +5.4% | +0.9% | +2.3% | +3.7% | +5.6% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +5.4% | -0.5% | -1.1% | -3.9% | -2.3% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +3.2% | +0.1% | -1.1% | +2.2% | -1.3% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.0% | +2.2% | +4.2% | -0.6% | +5.6% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.1% | +2.6% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +1.7% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +7.5% | +1.2% | +3.8% | +1.8% | +3.0% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +10.8% | -0.5% | -2.6% | +7.9% | +18.2% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +8.2% | +0.2% | -1.1% | -3.5% | +9.7% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 0.26 | 0.37 | +43.0% | +1.5% | +3.4% | -2.1% | +2.4% |
| 2020-04-23 miss | 0.29 | 0.26 | -9.1% | +0.2% | +2.0% | +6.5% | +14.3% |
| 2020-01-23 beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +2.5% | +5.3% | +1.2% | -3.0% | -7.8% |
| 2019-10-17 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +4.3% | +0.0% | +3.4% | -0.1% | -2.2% |
| 2019-07-18 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +5.7% | -1.3% | +2.9% | +6.3% | +2.8% |
| 2019-04-18 miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -0.7% | +0.6% | -0.8% | +4.0% | +2.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.