FFIV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.6% | +6.4% | 8.0% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -1.1% | -0.9% | 2.0% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 2.2% | 30% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | +4.1% | 9.0% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 4.00 | 4.73 | +18.2% | -3.4% | -1.1% | +2.2% | -1.0% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 3.46 | 3.90 | +12.9% | +3.2% | +8.0% | +3.9% | +16.9% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 3.65 | 4.45 | +21.9% | +10.4% | +8.1% | -5.4% | -7.2% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 3.97 | 4.39 | +10.6% | -9.7% | -7.9% | -9.8% | -11.0% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 3.49 | 4.16 | +19.2% | +8.0% | +4.8% | +1.2% | -0.1% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 3.09 | 3.42 | +10.5% | -1.9% | -0.9% | +0.8% | +6.8% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 3.38 | 3.84 | +13.7% | +13.8% | +11.4% | +1.0% | -2.7% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 3.45 | 3.67 | +6.4% | +10.8% | +10.1% | -3.1% | +4.1% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 2.97 | 3.36 | +13.1% | +12.4% | +13.0% | -6.3% | -0.9% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 2.87 | 2.91 | +1.5% | -10.9% | -9.2% | +1.8% | +1.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.