FFIV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +0.1% | 7.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 2.1% | 37% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.5% | 1.9% | 27% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +1.7% | 7.7% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 4.00 | 4.73 | +18.2% | -3.4% | -1.1% | +2.2% | -1.0% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 3.46 | 3.90 | +12.9% | +3.2% | +8.0% | +3.9% | +16.9% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 3.65 | 4.45 | +21.9% | +10.4% | +8.1% | -5.4% | -7.2% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 3.97 | 4.39 | +10.6% | -9.7% | -7.9% | -9.8% | -11.0% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 3.49 | 4.16 | +19.2% | +8.0% | +4.8% | +1.2% | -0.1% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 3.09 | 3.42 | +10.5% | -1.9% | -0.9% | +0.8% | +6.8% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 3.38 | 3.84 | +13.7% | +13.8% | +11.4% | +1.0% | -2.7% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 3.45 | 3.67 | +6.4% | +10.8% | +10.1% | -3.1% | +4.1% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 2.97 | 3.36 | +13.1% | +12.4% | +13.0% | -6.3% | -0.9% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 2.87 | 2.91 | +1.5% | -10.9% | -9.2% | +1.8% | +1.2% |
| 2024-01-29 beat | 3.04 | 3.43 | +12.9% | +5.2% | +0.8% | -2.3% | +0.2% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 3.21 | 3.50 | +9.1% | -0.8% | +2.3% | +0.2% | +10.8% |
| 2023-07-24 beat | 2.86 | 3.21 | +12.3% | +9.8% | +5.8% | +0.6% | -0.4% |
| 2023-04-19 beat | 2.42 | 2.53 | +4.3% | -6.6% | -2.1% | -1.6% | +6.2% |
| 2023-01-24 beat | 2.33 | 2.47 | +6.0% | -5.3% | -0.7% | +3.3% | -3.3% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 2.51 | 2.62 | +4.4% | -8.2% | -7.2% | -2.1% | +9.0% |
| 2022-07-25 beat | 2.23 | 2.57 | +15.1% | +7.4% | +3.2% | +3.8% | +3.5% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 2.01 | 2.13 | +5.7% | -10.9% | -12.8% | +5.3% | -4.0% |
| 2022-01-25 beat | 2.78 | 2.89 | +3.8% | -11.8% | -8.4% | +3.3% | -0.1% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 2.75 | 3.01 | +9.5% | +5.8% | +5.9% | +2.8% | +4.7% |
| 2021-07-26 beat | 2.46 | 2.76 | +12.2% | +7.2% | +6.2% | +4.1% | +0.6% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 2.40 | 2.50 | +4.4% | -7.5% | -9.1% | -3.2% | +0.3% |
| 2021-01-26 beat | 2.46 | 2.59 | +5.4% | -2.4% | -3.5% | -3.1% | -5.6% |
| 2020-10-26 beat | 2.37 | 2.43 | +2.4% | +5.1% | +8.5% | -0.2% | +20.9% |
| 2020-07-27 beat | 2.04 | 2.18 | +7.1% | -4.3% | -8.8% | +2.0% | -3.0% |
| 2020-04-27 beat | 1.99 | 2.23 | +12.0% | +12.9% | +7.6% | -3.1% | +1.0% |
| 2020-01-27 beat | 2.43 | 2.55 | +5.0% | -5.8% | -5.0% | -2.1% | -2.5% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 2.55 | 2.59 | +1.6% | +8.4% | +5.5% | -1.3% | -2.1% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 2.48 | 2.52 | +1.5% | -1.8% | -0.7% | -2.0% | -15.8% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 2.54 | 2.57 | +1.0% | -4.7% | -1.1% | -6.2% | -15.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.