FGBI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | -0.9% | 5.1% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.6% | 4.2% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.8% | 4.7% | 70% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +2.4% | 8.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 0.09 | 0.17 | +88.9% | +0.0% | +3.0% | +0.1% | -14.9% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +92.3% | +2.5% | +8.3% | +2.3% | +10.9% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | -0.29 | 0.13 | +145.0% | -0.7% | -0.2% | +6.4% | +2.5% |
| 2025-10-31 miss | -0.32 | -2.30 | -619.9% | +0.3% | -1.2% | -11.8% | -24.2% |
| 2025-08-01 miss | -0.20 | -0.50 | -150.0% | -4.6% | -7.0% | +0.2% | +5.1% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | 0.17 | -0.54 | -417.5% | -2.7% | -9.0% | -1.4% | -5.9% |
| 2025-01-30 miss | 0.23 | 0.03 | -87.0% | -1.0% | -0.7% | +0.7% | -21.9% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.01 | 0.11 | +1000.0% | +2.2% | +3.9% | -0.5% | +34.7% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 0.20 | 0.53 | +165.0% | -0.6% | -3.6% | +5.5% | +6.0% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +40.0% | +0.3% | -2.2% | +11.8% | +2.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.