FITB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +1.1% | 2.8% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 3.2% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.6% | 2.0% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +0.7% | 5.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 miss | 0.84 | 0.83 | -1.2% | -0.7% | -2.3% | -1.0% | -0.7% |
| 2026-04-17 miss | 0.22 | 0.15 | -32.2% | +2.8% | +1.7% | -1.4% | -4.8% |
| 2026-01-20 beat | 0.99 | 1.04 | +4.9% | -0.6% | +2.0% | +1.4% | +5.5% |
| 2025-10-17 beat | 0.86 | 0.91 | +5.9% | +3.8% | +1.3% | +4.3% | +0.6% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 0.87 | 0.88 | +1.5% | -0.3% | -1.0% | +0.2% | -0.3% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +1.4% | -3.1% | -0.7% | +3.3% | +15.7% |
| 2025-01-21 beat | 0.87 | 0.90 | +3.0% | +1.4% | +1.2% | -0.2% | -2.8% |
| 2024-10-18 beat | 0.82 | 0.85 | +3.2% | +0.7% | -1.5% | -3.2% | +4.8% |
| 2024-07-19 beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +1.8% | +1.5% | +1.9% | +3.1% | +0.2% |
| 2024-04-19 beat | 0.68 | 0.70 | +2.9% | +6.4% | +5.9% | +1.8% | +4.2% |
| 2024-01-19 beat | 0.64 | 0.72 | +12.8% | +3.0% | +2.9% | +1.9% | -1.2% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 0.83 | 0.92 | +11.5% | +0.4% | +1.1% | -5.3% | +10.6% |
| 2023-07-20 miss | 0.83 | 0.82 | -1.2% | +2.5% | +2.7% | -2.4% | -12.5% |
| 2023-04-20 beat | 0.79 | 0.83 | +5.0% | -1.7% | -0.6% | -7.2% | -9.8% |
| 2023-01-19 beat | 1.00 | 1.04 | +4.4% | -1.1% | +2.8% | +7.1% | +9.8% |
| 2022-10-20 miss | 0.98 | 0.93 | -4.9% | -1.1% | -6.3% | +13.5% | +14.4% |
| 2022-07-21 miss | 0.87 | 0.78 | -10.3% | -1.6% | -1.3% | -2.4% | +6.7% |
| 2022-04-19 miss | 0.69 | 0.69 | -0.3% | +0.0% | +4.4% | -7.5% | -11.6% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 0.90 | 0.93 | +2.9% | +0.5% | -2.8% | -5.1% | +3.5% |
| 2021-10-19 beat | 0.91 | 0.97 | +6.2% | +0.8% | -0.3% | +2.0% | +0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.