FITB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.6% | 3.1% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.6% | 2.1% | 62% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 52% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.3% | 4.8% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 miss | 0.84 | 0.83 | -1.2% | -0.7% | -2.3% | -1.0% | -0.7% |
| 2026-04-17 miss | 0.22 | 0.15 | -32.2% | +2.8% | +1.7% | -1.4% | -4.8% |
| 2026-01-20 beat | 0.99 | 1.04 | +4.9% | -0.6% | +2.0% | +1.4% | +5.5% |
| 2025-10-17 beat | 0.86 | 0.91 | +5.9% | +3.8% | +1.3% | +4.3% | +0.6% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 0.87 | 0.88 | +1.5% | -0.3% | -1.0% | +0.2% | -0.3% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +1.4% | -3.1% | -0.7% | +3.3% | +15.7% |
| 2025-01-21 beat | 0.87 | 0.90 | +3.0% | +1.4% | +1.2% | -0.2% | -2.8% |
| 2024-10-18 beat | 0.82 | 0.85 | +3.2% | +0.7% | -1.5% | -3.2% | +4.8% |
| 2024-07-19 beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +1.8% | +1.5% | +1.9% | +3.1% | +0.2% |
| 2024-04-19 beat | 0.68 | 0.70 | +2.9% | +6.4% | +5.9% | +1.8% | +4.2% |
| 2024-01-19 beat | 0.64 | 0.72 | +12.8% | +3.0% | +2.9% | +1.9% | -1.2% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 0.83 | 0.92 | +11.5% | +0.4% | +1.1% | -5.3% | +10.6% |
| 2023-07-20 miss | 0.83 | 0.82 | -1.2% | +2.5% | +2.7% | -2.4% | -12.5% |
| 2023-04-20 beat | 0.79 | 0.83 | +5.0% | -1.7% | -0.6% | -7.2% | -9.8% |
| 2023-01-19 beat | 1.00 | 1.04 | +4.4% | -1.1% | +2.8% | +7.1% | +9.8% |
| 2022-10-20 miss | 0.98 | 0.93 | -4.9% | -1.1% | -6.3% | +13.5% | +14.4% |
| 2022-07-21 miss | 0.87 | 0.78 | -10.3% | -1.6% | -1.3% | -2.4% | +6.7% |
| 2022-04-19 miss | 0.69 | 0.69 | -0.3% | +0.0% | +4.4% | -7.5% | -11.6% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 0.90 | 0.93 | +2.9% | +0.5% | -2.8% | -5.1% | +3.5% |
| 2021-10-19 beat | 0.91 | 0.97 | +6.2% | +0.8% | -0.3% | +2.0% | +0.6% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 0.81 | 0.98 | +20.6% | -1.3% | -2.3% | +1.7% | +4.4% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 0.69 | 0.93 | +35.4% | -0.5% | -3.8% | +7.7% | +14.4% |
| 2021-01-21 beat | 0.68 | 0.78 | +13.9% | +0.0% | -2.1% | -3.5% | +13.7% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 0.59 | 0.85 | +45.2% | +2.7% | +2.0% | -3.6% | +5.5% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +14.4% | -2.1% | -0.1% | +1.4% | +0.8% |
| 2020-04-21 beat | 0.47 | 0.68 | +44.4% | -3.8% | -2.5% | +14.3% | +8.9% |
| 2020-01-22 miss | 0.73 | 0.68 | -6.3% | +0.8% | +1.1% | -3.0% | +0.2% |
| 2019-10-22 beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.2% | -0.7% | +1.0% | +4.7% | +5.2% |
| 2019-07-23 miss | 0.61 | 0.57 | -5.8% | +1.6% | +5.1% | +2.2% | -12.6% |
| 2019-04-23 miss | 1.17 | 1.12 | -4.3% | -0.4% | +2.9% | +1.7% | -3.5% |
| 2019-01-22 beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.6% | +0.6% | +2.1% | -0.5% | +0.7% |
| 2018-10-23 miss | 0.64 | 0.61 | -4.3% | -2.8% | +2.4% | +3.3% | +3.1% |
| 2018-07-19 beat | 0.64 | 0.80 | +25.8% | -1.1% | -6.4% | +4.4% | +4.9% |
| 2018-04-24 beat | 0.66 | 0.97 | +46.5% | +3.4% | +4.1% | +0.3% | -6.2% |
| 2018-01-23 miss | 0.48 | 0.39 | -19.3% | -0.4% | +0.5% | +0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2017-10-24 miss | 1.38 | 1.35 | -2.5% | -1.5% | +0.6% | +1.0% | -0.6% |
| 2017-07-21 beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +5.9% | +0.5% | +2.7% | +0.8% | +0.1% |
| 2017-04-25 beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +1.9% | +0.3% | -1.3% | -2.2% | -2.1% |
| 2017-01-24 beat | 0.44 | 0.49 | +12.6% | +0.9% | +0.4% | -1.9% | +3.3% |
| 2016-10-20 beat | 0.65 | 0.65 | +0.4% | -1.0% | +2.4% | +3.8% | +22.2% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +6.4% | +0.0% | +1.4% | -0.3% | +4.1% |
| 2016-04-21 beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +15.7% | +2.2% | +0.8% | -0.2% | -1.3% |
| 2016-01-21 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +1.9% | +1.4% | -4.8% | -1.0% | -0.4% |
| 2015-10-20 beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +11.4% | -0.3% | -1.0% | -0.4% | +8.1% |
| 2015-07-21 miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -2.6% | +0.6% | +1.1% | -2.9% | -2.5% |
| 2015-04-21 beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +18.4% | +1.4% | +2.2% | +2.1% | +5.5% |
| 2015-01-21 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +1.8% | -0.7% | -3.0% | -1.8% | +10.6% |
| 2014-10-16 miss | 0.44 | 0.39 | -10.4% | -3.1% | -4.5% | +7.0% | +13.6% |
| 2014-07-17 beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +7.6% | -2.0% | -5.9% | +4.0% | -2.7% |
| 2014-04-17 miss | 0.42 | 0.36 | -13.6% | -2.5% | -4.1% | -1.0% | -3.6% |
| 2014-01-23 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +2.0% | -1.2% | -1.8% | -1.3% | +0.4% |
| 2013-10-17 beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +11.8% | -0.1% | +3.1% | +0.8% | +5.1% |
| 2013-07-18 beat | 0.43 | 0.66 | +54.2% | -1.0% | -0.2% | +2.2% | +1.1% |
| 2013-04-18 beat | 0.39 | 0.46 | +16.9% | +2.8% | +0.8% | +5.7% | +14.6% |
| 2013-01-17 beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +7.8% | +2.8% | +4.8% | +0.5% | -2.0% |
| 2012-10-18 beat | 0.39 | 0.42 | +7.9% | +0.8% | -0.1% | -3.2% | -3.4% |
| 2012-07-19 beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +13.6% | +0.9% | +0.2% | +2.5% | +4.3% |
| 2012-04-19 miss | 0.36 | 0.36 | -0.8% | +1.0% | -3.0% | +4.7% | -2.8% |
| 2012-01-20 miss | 0.36 | 0.33 | -7.7% | -2.1% | -2.9% | +0.5% | +5.6% |
| 2011-10-20 beat | 0.32 | 0.40 | +25.8% | +5.5% | +9.1% | +7.4% | +2.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.