FITB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.2% | 2.4% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 2.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 1.9% | 70% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +1.8% | 4.0% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 miss | 0.84 | 0.83 | -1.2% | -0.7% | -2.3% | -1.0% | -0.7% |
| 2026-04-17 miss | 0.22 | 0.15 | -32.2% | +2.8% | +1.7% | -1.4% | -4.8% |
| 2026-01-20 beat | 0.99 | 1.04 | +4.9% | -0.6% | +2.0% | +1.4% | +5.5% |
| 2025-10-17 beat | 0.86 | 0.91 | +5.9% | +3.8% | +1.3% | +4.3% | +0.6% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 0.87 | 0.88 | +1.5% | -0.3% | -1.0% | +0.2% | -0.3% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +1.4% | -3.1% | -0.7% | +3.3% | +15.7% |
| 2025-01-21 beat | 0.87 | 0.90 | +3.0% | +1.4% | +1.2% | -0.2% | -2.8% |
| 2024-10-18 beat | 0.82 | 0.85 | +3.2% | +0.7% | -1.5% | -3.2% | +4.8% |
| 2024-07-19 beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +1.8% | +1.5% | +1.9% | +3.1% | +0.2% |
| 2024-04-19 beat | 0.68 | 0.70 | +2.9% | +6.4% | +5.9% | +1.8% | +4.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.