FIX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.3% | +1.4% | 10.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.2% | 2.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | +0.0% | 3.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | +5.5% | +4.4% | 10.0% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 10.46 | 12.53 | +19.9% | -0.5% | -5.3% | -0.2% | -7.1% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 6.81 | 10.51 | +54.4% | +0.0% | -2.7% | +8.2% | +9.1% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 6.75 | 9.37 | +38.7% | +3.0% | +6.5% | -2.2% | -3.7% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 6.29 | 8.25 | +31.3% | +15.8% | +19.0% | -1.6% | -3.7% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 4.84 | 6.53 | +35.0% | +18.2% | +22.4% | +1.0% | +0.4% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 3.71 | 4.75 | +28.1% | +2.3% | +5.6% | +8.7% | +22.1% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 3.67 | 4.08 | +11.1% | +7.7% | -4.7% | -0.2% | +4.2% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 3.99 | 4.09 | +2.4% | -5.7% | -10.4% | +5.9% | +33.6% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 3.19 | 3.74 | +17.2% | +3.5% | +6.0% | -1.2% | +9.0% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 2.08 | 2.69 | +29.6% | +2.8% | -3.0% | +4.3% | +12.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.