FIX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +5.2% | +6.2% | 8.6% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +2.0% | +2.0% | 3.0% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.1% | 2.3% | 55% |
| 5-day | +8.8% | +6.8% | 9.6% | 85% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 10.46 | 12.53 | +19.9% | -0.5% | -5.3% | -0.2% | -7.1% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 6.81 | 10.51 | +54.4% | +0.0% | -2.7% | +8.2% | +9.1% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 6.75 | 9.37 | +38.7% | +3.0% | +6.5% | -2.2% | -3.7% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 6.29 | 8.25 | +31.3% | +15.8% | +19.0% | -1.6% | -3.7% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 4.84 | 6.53 | +35.0% | +18.2% | +22.4% | +1.0% | +0.4% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 3.71 | 4.75 | +28.1% | +2.3% | +5.6% | +8.7% | +22.1% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 3.67 | 4.08 | +11.1% | +7.7% | -4.7% | -0.2% | +4.2% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 3.99 | 4.09 | +2.4% | -5.7% | -10.4% | +5.9% | +33.6% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 3.19 | 3.74 | +17.2% | +3.5% | +6.0% | -1.2% | +9.0% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 2.08 | 2.69 | +29.6% | +2.8% | -3.0% | +4.3% | +12.2% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 2.18 | 2.55 | +17.1% | +8.1% | +12.6% | +12.7% | +14.3% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 2.17 | 2.74 | +26.3% | +8.7% | +14.5% | +6.8% | +7.6% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 1.62 | 1.99 | +23.2% | +2.6% | -0.3% | +6.9% | +9.9% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.08 | 1.51 | +39.4% | +0.3% | +12.1% | -0.6% | +0.8% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 1.37 | 1.54 | +12.4% | +2.8% | +9.8% | +8.2% | +1.4% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 1.39 | 1.71 | +23.0% | +1.1% | +8.0% | -1.0% | +4.5% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 1.01 | 1.17 | +15.5% | +3.0% | +6.3% | +3.3% | +4.1% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +4.2% | +2.6% | +1.1% | +0.8% | +6.5% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | 1.05 | 1.04 | -0.9% | -5.2% | -2.0% | +3.7% | +6.5% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 1.01 | 1.27 | +25.7% | +0.6% | +7.6% | +5.6% | +9.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.