FLEX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.2% | +2.6% | 14.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +1.0% | 3.7% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +2.0% | +1.7% | 3.0% | 70% |
| 5-day | +9.0% | +7.0% | 15.6% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.92 | 1.00 | +8.9% | -11.7% | -9.1% | +18.3% | +11.9% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.88 | 0.93 | +6.1% | +24.3% | +39.7% | +6.7% | +12.8% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 0.79 | 0.87 | +10.5% | -4.7% | -10.9% | +10.2% | +1.8% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +4.3% | -7.4% | +2.9% | -1.3% | -10.6% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.64 | 0.72 | +12.3% | -6.1% | -7.7% | +0.4% | +4.5% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.69 | 0.73 | +5.2% | +0.1% | +3.2% | +10.8% | +13.5% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 0.63 | 0.77 | +21.8% | +4.2% | +2.3% | +4.0% | -8.7% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.56 | 0.64 | +14.3% | -0.5% | +3.2% | +8.9% | +8.9% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.41 | 0.51 | +25.2% | +7.1% | +6.9% | +1.2% | -0.6% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +2.9% | -5.9% | -8.1% | +8.4% | +25.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.